Jose Quintana under 2.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 19, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6200
Read original reasoning
Quintana's 2026 K/9 is 4.39 (20 K in 41.0 IP) — among the lowest for a rotation starter. Last 3 outings: 0 K (1.1 IP), 4 K (5.2 IP), 2 K (4.0 IP) — averaging 2.0 Ks per start. Returns from 118 days of extended rest, almost certainly on a pitch count that limits total outs. Coors Field's high-contact, high-altitude environment suppresses swings-and-misses further. Market at -161 implies 61.7% — our read is closer to 72%+ given the convergence of low K rate, short likely outing, and park factor.
Market unavailableW
May 24, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0400
Read original reasoning
Quintana's 2026 K/9 is ~4.5 (20 K in 39.2 IP), well below the 2.5 line threshold. Last 3 starts: 4 K, 2 K, 2 K — he went under 2.5 in two of three. ARI is 8-3 vs LHP and makes aggressive contact. Under 2.5 is available at +104, reflecting near-even market pricing despite a clear statistical lean. Plus odds on this strong statistical under is the best value on the board.
Market unavailableL
May 18, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6100
Read original reasoning
Quintana's 2026 K rate is anemic: 16 K in 34.0 IP (4.2 K/9). Last 3 starts: 2 K, 2 K, 3 K — all at or under the 3.5 line. A typical 5-inning outing at his 2026 rate projects to roughly 2.3 Ks. No start this season has cleared 4 Ks. Market confirms: Under priced at -164.
