Josh Lowe

Career vs Kremer: 20 PA, .176 AVG, 0.535 OPS. His most recent exposure in 2025 (11 PA) produced a 0.384 OPS — the weakest of any multi-PA season sample. Season slash of .211/.276/.367 with a 0.687 OPS vs RHP confirms he struggles against right-handers generally. The -105 price on the under is fair value given consistent career suppression by this specific pitcher.

Lowe's career vs Irvin: 4 PA, .500 AVG, 2.500 OPS, 2 HR — including a 5.000 OPS in 2 PA in 2025. Small sample caveat acknowledged explicitly: 4 PA is a limited dataset and strong conclusions are not warranted. However, 2 HR in 4 career PA against a pitcher with a 5.52 ERA and 1.48 HR/9 rate in 2026 provides some directional signal. Lowe has 11 HR on the season. At +520, the implied probability is 16.1% — the career data justifies a speculative LOW-confidence play at this price.

Career vs Cole: 13 PA, .083 AVG (1 hit total), 0 HR. Broken down by season: 2023 (7 PA, 0.000 OPS — zero hits in 7 plate appearances), 2022 (3 PA, 0.333 OPS), 2024 (3 PA, 0.666 OPS). The 2023 sample is the most meaningful — Lowe was held hitless across seven PA against Cole. His season line is also weak at .211/.273/.352. Under 0.5 hits is -109 (52.1% implied), barely pricing in the vig, which makes this a clean lean given the career futility against Cole.