Jared Simpson under 1.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 16, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7000
Read original reasoning
Simpson has just 4.0 IP total in 2026 with 4 Ks across three appearances. Last start (Sep 08 @SD): 0.0 IP, 3 ER, 0 K, 3 BB — could not record a single out. Prior outing (Sep 07): 1.0 IP, 1 K. With extreme command volatility (3 BB in 0 IP), PHI's powerful lineup will work counts and force early exits. Facing PHI's 4.5 R/G offense (vs RHP: 45-60 record for WSH this year meaning PHI bats well), Simpson is unlikely to navigate deep enough to rack Ks. Under 1.5 at -143 is market-consensus; the 0-out last start is the key signal.
