May 23, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7500
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Morán's 2026 rate is 29 K in 25.2 IP (~10.2 K/9). His last 3 outings: 3 K in 1.2 IP (May 15), 3 K in 1.0 IP (May 19), 1 K in 0.1 IP (May 20). Two of three stints produced 3 Ks in 1+ IP. The MIN lineup is thinned — Ryan Jeffers injured, Royce Lewis demoted — reducing contact depth. Even in a short 1-2 IP bulk role, his elite K rate makes reaching 2 Ks the base case. The May 20 early hook (0.1 IP) is the main risk.