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NYM · Pitcher

Justin Hagenman

Throws R · 2026 player profile

MLB / P
Charts through 2026-09-25 · season stats retrieved 2026-10-13
ERA3.382026 · MLB season
Strikeouts42026 · MLB season
Innings8.02026 · MLB season
WHIP1.252026 · MLB season

Quality of contact allowed

10-game rolling xwOBA

.200.300.400.50010-game xwOBA against
10-game rolling xwOBA against

2026-09-02 — 2026-09-25 · 3 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.

NYM at —

Matchup unavailable

Our picks & reasoning

No upcoming matchup in this schedule snapshot.

OddsIndex analysis

Our picks on Hagenman

Saved upcoming picks

No saved upcoming picks for Justin Hagenman.

Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.

Our past picks

Original reasoning and recorded results.

Showing 1 past picks from 1 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.

Justin Hagenman under 2.5 strikeoutsW

Sep 2, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2200

Read original reasoning

Hagenman is making his first regular season start of 2026 — a season debut with an inherently short leash. In his last three appearances (2025-26): 3 K in 3.0 IP, 0 K in 1.1 IP, 5 K in 4.0 IP. The volatile IP range and debut uncertainty suppress K upside. The 13.5 outs market (Under -110) aligns with market expectation of roughly 4.5 IP. TB scores 4.5 R/G at home and is likely to chase a struggling debut arm early. Getting 3+ Ks requires sustained outings Hagenman has not reliably delivered.

Market lines · saved snapshot

Snapshot unavailable. Market lines from the latest recorded feed update. Availability may have changed.

Market snapshot unavailable.

Inside the repertoire

What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.

The arsenal

PitchUsageVeloWhiff%xwOBAEVHMovVMovSpin
4-Seam FastballFF
42%
90.95.9%0.44193.9-13.114.12100
CutterFC
27%
84.39.1%0.30190.52.17.82300
ChangeupCH
23%
85.326.3%0.46994.1-16.8-0.31642
SliderSL
8%
81.30.0%0.15570.86.1-0.62388

Contact allowed by location

82.41 BIP90.22 BIP85.41 BIP92.92 BIP97.97 BIP94.01 BIP100.61 BIP99.93 BIP94.52 BIP73.7Away74.0Low81.4InsideCatcher's perspective
73.7mph
100.6mphExit velocity

Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.

Data detail

Season & career

Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.

Season / teamGGSIPKBBERAWHIP
2026 · New York Mets318.0423.381.25
2025 · New York Mets9123.22324.561.10
Career12231.22744.261.14
Recorded game dates 3 dates

Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.

DatePA*xwOBABAEV (mph)Barrel fraction
2026-09-25170.3400.31288.20.071
2026-09-0540.6770.25096.40.500
2026-09-02120.3250.18292.10.111

*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.

How to read these numbers
Walk rate

Sample: 33 pa

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.

Barrel rate allowed

Sample: 27 bip

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

Exit velocity allowed

Sample: 24 bip

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

BABIP allowed

Sample: 25 bip

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.