Odds, predictions, standings, and expert analysis for every MLB game
Justin Topa
Throws R · 2026 player profile
Quality of contact allowed
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-03-26 — 2026-08-29 · 25 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.
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Our picks on Topa
Saved upcoming picks
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Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Our past picks
Original reasoning and recorded results.
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Inside the repertoire
What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.
The arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Whiff% | xwOBA | EV | HMov | VMov | Spin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SinkerSI | 41% | 93.5 | 12.7% | 0.398 | 93.1 | -18.2 | 0.9 | 2181 |
| CutterFC | 26% | 91.5 | 17.6% | 0.350 | 85.7 | -3.8 | 8.5 | 2316 |
| SweeperSW | 20% | 81.8 | 20.7% | 0.425 | 88.7 | 14.3 | 3.0 | 2631 |
| ChangeupCH | 13% | 86.2 | 20.0% | 0.276 | 89.2 | -14.9 | -5.2 | 1832 |
Contact allowed by location
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Data detail
Season & career
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.
| Season / team | G | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · | 25 | 0 | 22.0 | 15 | 12 | 6.95 | 1.95 |
| 2026 · New York Yankees | 2 | 0 | 3.0 | 3 | 1 | 0.00 | 1.67 |
| 2026 · Minnesota Twins | 23 | 0 | 19.0 | 12 | 11 | 8.05 | 2.00 |
| 2025 · Minnesota Twins | 54 | 1 | 60.0 | 49 | 18 | 3.90 | 1.43 |
| 2024 · Minnesota Twins | 3 | 0 | 2.1 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.43 |
| 2023 · Seattle Mariners | 75 | 0 | 69.0 | 61 | 18 | 2.61 | 1.14 |
| 2022 · Milwaukee Brewers | 7 | 0 | 7.1 | 4 | 4 | 4.91 | 1.77 |
| 2021 · Milwaukee Brewers | 4 | 0 | 3.1 | 1 | 1 | 29.70 | 3.90 |
| 2020 · Milwaukee Brewers | 6 | 0 | 7.2 | 12 | 0 | 2.35 | 0.91 |
| Career | 174 | 1 | 171.2 | 144 | 53 | 4.19 | 1.41 |
Recorded game dates 25 dates
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 5 | 0.448 | 0.400 | 85.3 | 0.000 |
| 2026-08-27 | 11 | 0.256 | 0.222 | 81.2 | 0.000 |
| 2026-05-18 | 7 | 0.380 | 0.750 | 93.4 | 0.000 |
| 2026-05-17 | 3 | 0.337 | 0.000 | 92.0 | 0.000 |
| 2026-05-13 | 7 | 0.192 | 0.167 | 81.2 | 0.000 |
| 2026-05-06 | 8 | 0.567 | 0.667 | 102.7 | 0.200 |
| 2026-05-03 | 6 | 0.663 | 0.667 | 96.7 | 0.167 |
| 2026-05-02 | 3 | 0.681 | 0.333 | 100.1 | 0.500 |
| 2026-04-30 | 3 | 0.310 | 0.000 | 91.4 | 0.000 |
| 2026-04-26 | 4 | 0.134 | 0.250 | 89.7 | 0.000 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
How to read these numbers
Sample: 108 pa
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
Sample: 79 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 74 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 75 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
