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Mar 30, 2026 ET · Odds at publication unavailable
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Verlander posted 8.11 K/9 in 2025 (137 K in 152 IP), averaging ~5.7 Ks per start. Line of 3.5 is extremely conservative. Even in his two worst recent starts (3 K vs ARI on Sep 17, 3 K vs STL on Sep 22) he barely missed. ARI batters are 0-3 to start 2026 with a .564 OPS as a team. Career BvP shows Ketel Marte at .091 AVG/.266 OPS vs Verlander and Alek Thomas at .125 AVG/.250 OPS — a lineup Verlander has historically suppressed. Over 3.5 is a baseline expectation for a healthy Verlander start.
