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Bats L · 2026 player profile
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-03-26 — 2026-09-27 · 154 recorded dates. Higher xwOBA means stronger expected production.
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Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Original reasoning and recorded results.
Showing 15 past picks from 15 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.
Sep 5, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.4600
McGonigle is 0-for-6 (.000 AVG, 0.000 OPS) against Messick in 2026 — all 6 career PA this year resulted in outs. He's also cold at the plate recently: L28d 0.583 OPS, L7d 0.544 OPS. Messick's 9.01 K/9 and 2.46 ERA give him the tools to continue suppressing McGonigle. The +146 price offers value against a demonstrably poor matchup.
Sep 4, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.4400
McGonigle's vL OPS is only 0.634 vs 0.845 vR — a steep platoon split working against him facing Griffin (LHP). Career vs Griffin: 0-for-3 (small sample, directionally consistent). L7d OPS just 0.347, extending a cold stretch. Tigers are 17-25 vs LHP as a team this season, reflecting a lineup-wide platoon vulnerability. Griffin's 3.21 ERA and 139 K in 154.1 IP makes him a difficult matchup. Market odds of +144 reflect public underestimation of the splits disadvantage.
Aug 31, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.7400
McGonigle is 0-for-6 (.000 AVG, 0.167 OPS) in his 2026 sample vs Bradley — he has been completely neutralized in every plate appearance. His season .276 AVG shows he can hit, making this a pitcher-specific suppression pattern rather than general slumping. Under 0.5 hits at +174 (36.5% implied) is mispriced given six hitless PAs against this specific starter. Under total across game context also supports a low-contact environment.
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Which pitches he handles and how he makes decisions at the plate.
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team.
| Season / team | G | PA | H | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Detroit Tigers | 156 | 707 | 168 | 18 | 72 | .278 | .376 | .430 | .806 |
| Career | 156 | 707 | 168 | 18 | 72 | .278 | .376 | .430 | .806 |
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | 0.365 | 0.667 | 95.8 | 0.500 |
| 2026-09-26 | 5 | 0.112 | 0.200 | 72.8 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-25 | 5 | 0.335 | 0.000 | 99.7 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-23 | 5 | 0.380 | 0.600 | 85.4 | 0.250 |
| 2026-09-22 | 5 | 0.121 | 0.400 | 65.9 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-20 | 5 | 0.241 | 0.000 | 82.6 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-19 | 5 | 0.195 | 0.250 | 85.1 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-18 | 6 | 0.791 | 0.400 | 96.2 | 0.200 |
| 2026-09-17 | 5 | 0.342 | 0.500 | 82.5 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-16 | 5 | 0.445 | 0.400 | 93.2 | 0.000 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
Sample: 707 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
Sample: 509 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 509 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 509 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 707 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
Sample: 707 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
