Market unavailableL
May 14, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8800
Read original reasoning
Bubic projects at ~9.1 K/9 in 2026 (47 K in 46.1 IP). Last 3 starts: 5K, 7K, 6K — two of three cleared this line. Dominant vs CHW specifically: 11K in 7 IP (Apr 10 2026), 7K in 7 IP (May 08 2025). CHW lineup has produced 0.000 OPS vs Bubic in 2026 across five batters (Meidroth 3 PA 0.000 OPS, Montgomery 3 PA 0.000 OPS, Murakami 3 PA 0.000 OPS, Grichuk 3 PA 0.000 OPS, Acuña 2 PA 0.000 OPS). Outs line at 17.5 projects ~5.8 IP; at 9.1 K/9 that's ~8.8 raw projection, with regression to recent ~6K floor still clearing 5.5.
Market unavailableW
May 8, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9000
Read original reasoning
Bubic carries a 9.3 K/9 in 2026 (42 K in 40.2 IP), but his last three starts show high variance: 7K, 6K, 3K. Critically, his most recent start vs DET (Apr 16, 2026) yielded only 3K in 4.2 IP before getting knocked out. DET is a right-handed-heavy lineup that makes contact — team .719 OPS. The under at -111 captures the DET-specific suppression of Bubic's strikeout ceiling. Two of his last three starts went under 5.5.
Market unavailableL
May 3, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8000
Read original reasoning
Bubic's last 3 starts: 6K, 3K, 3K — averaging 4 Ks per outing. Two of three starts came in well under the 5.5 line. His 2026 walk rate has climbed (17 BB in 33.2 IP) suggesting command issues that reduce strikeout efficiency. SEA lineup is depleted with Cal Raleigh scratched, but Bubic's own recent K trend is the primary signal.
