Kyle Bradish under 3.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 12, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1000
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Bradish's last 3 starts: 3K in 4.0 IP (4 BB vs BOS), 4K in 5.0 IP (vs COL), 4K in 4.1 IP (vs STL). Outings have been short and walk-heavy — 68 BB in 152.0 IP this season is a command red flag that inflates pitch counts and triggers earlier hooks. Last time he faced TOR (Jun 06): 3K in 4.0 IP. Two of three recent starts went under 3.5. At +110 this is a positive-EV under with a clear recent-form trend supporting it.
Kyle Bradish under 4.5 strikeoutsV
Sep 6, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0800
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Bradish's last 3 starts: 4 K, 4 K, 5 K — two of three under the 4.5 line with outings lasting 5.0, 4.1, and 5.2 IP. His 2026 ERA of 4.01 reflects a pitcher who has been getting hit and pulled early. In his two 2026 starts vs BOS specifically: 4 K (Jul 22) and 3 K (Apr 26). Outing length is the ceiling suppressor here — he hasn't cleared 6 IP in his last three, which caps total Ks regardless of rate. BAL bullpen is also depleted, creating pressure to stretch Bradish, but recent results suggest he can't go deep. Under 4.5 at +108 offers positive value.
Kyle Bradish under 4.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 1, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9800
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Bradish's last three starts: 4 K, 5 K, 3 K — averaging 4.0 per outing, right at the line. His 2026 K/9 is 8.37 (133 K in 143 IP) but recent outings are trending softer. Critically, the news intel confirms a prior weather delay tied 1-1 after the 5th inning in game 1 of this series, meaning Bradish may face rest-and-workload management in game 2 from an already-taxed bullpen. If BAL is in playoff desperation mode and Bradish is limited to 5 innings or fewer, clearing 4.5 Ks becomes difficult. Under at -102 is near-even odds on a lean with real downside risk capping his ceiling.
