Kyle Leahy under 3.5 strikeoutsV
Sep 24, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6900
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Leahy's last three starts have been dangerously short: 3.0 IP (1 K) vs WSH, 3.0 IP (4 K) vs CHW, 2.2 IP (6 K) vs COL. He has not thrown more than 3 innings in any of his last three outings. Even with 6 days rest, Pittsburgh's lineup posts .735 OPS and 4.8 R/G, and BvP data shows PIT starters have hammered him — Lowe at 2.100 OPS, O'Hearn at 1.850 OPS, Mangum at 1.500 OPS, Gonzales at .804 OPS all vs Leahy. If he is chased before the 4th inning as recent form projects, reaching 4 Ks becomes structurally impossible. Under 3.5 is the strongest number on this board.
Kyle Leahy over 2.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 6, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0200
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Leahy's 2026 K/9 sits at 8.22 across 129.1 IP. Despite recent short outings, he's logged 3, 4, and 6 Ks in his last 3 starts — every one over the 2.5 line. His last trip to Coors against COL (Aug 07 2026): 8 Ks in 5.0 IP. COL batters Hunter Goodman (0-for-6 career vs Leahy, 0.000 OPS) and Cole Carrigg (0-for-3 in 2026, 0.000 OPS) are established outs. Jordan Beck is also 0-for-3 (0.000 OPS) vs him. Even if Leahy exits after 4-5 IP, his K/9 rate makes 3+ Ks highly probable. +102 pricing offers genuine value on a near-lock baseline.
Kyle Leahy over 3.5 strikeoutsL
Aug 29, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6300
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Leahy's 2026 K/9 is 8.19 (115 K in 126.1 IP) with a 3.13 ERA. Last 3 starts: 4, 6, 6 Ks — all over the 3.5 line. Vs. PIT in April 2026, he struck out 7 in 5.1 IP. Pittsburgh's team K/9 is 9.32 — one of the higher strikeout rates in the league — giving Leahy a favorable strikeout environment. Busch Stadium's pitcher-friendly run factor (0.98) supports deep outings. Coming off 6 days of extended rest, his stuff should be sharp.
