Lake Bachar under 1.5 strikeoutsL
Sep 3, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1400
Read original reasoning
Bachar's 2026 season K/9 is 9.21 (77 K in 75.1 IP), but his last three appearances show him being deployed as a short reliever: 2.1 IP (2 K), 1.1 IP (1 K), 2.0 IP (1 K). Only one of those three outings cleared 1.5 K. Even if he's slotted back into a starter role today, his recent usage pattern suggests a short leash — and with SF's bullpen taxed from Sept 2 (Roupp exited after 5 IP), the PIR may extend Bachar deeper, but his last 3 average of 1.9 IP and 1.3 K/outing makes clearing 1.5 uncertain. Under +114 has value over the -161 juice required on the Over.
Lake Bachar under 1.5 strikeoutsL
Aug 29, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2800
Read original reasoning
Bachar's last 3 outings: 1.1 IP/1 K (Aug 26 vs SD), 2.0 IP/1 K (Aug 23 vs LAD), 1.0 IP/1 K (Aug 21 vs LAD) — three consecutive 1-K outings, all under the 1.5 line. He's pitching in very short, volatile bursts and has not gotten past 2 innings since August. His 2026 appearances vs STL mirror this pattern: 2.0 IP/1 K (Jun 27), 0.1 IP/0 K (Apr 22). There is no plausible path to 2+ Ks unless he dramatically extends his outing length, which his recent track record makes unlikely.
Lake Bachar under 1.5 strikeoutsW
Aug 23, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2800
Read original reasoning
Bachar's last 3 outings: 1 K in 1.0 IP, 4 K in 3.0 IP, 1 K in 3.0 IP — 6 total Ks across 7 innings at an average of 2.0 K per outing. He's been deployed in short burst roles, getting pulled early, and his most recent appearance (Aug 21 vs this same LAD club) lasted just 1.0 IP with 3 BB and 1 K. With a 2026 K/9 of approximately 9.43, his season rate is solid, but it means nothing if he's working 1-2 inning stints. Against a Dodgers lineup averaging .259 AVG and .763 OPS, the volume risk is real. Under 1.5 at +128 represents genuine value given his recent short-outing pattern.
