Sep 4, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8900
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The largest BvP sample in this matchup: Wade is 6-for-39 (.162 AVG, 0.556 OPS career) vs Merrill Kelly — a meaningful 39-PA dataset spanning multiple seasons. The recent trend is stark: 2024 (3 PA, 0.000 OPS), 2025 (2 PA, 0.000 OPS). His season slash is .208/.323/.340 with an L28d OPS of just 0.528. Kelly has consistently suppressed Wade across a legitimate sample. At -112, the juice is modest for a play with multi-year BvP backing and a demonstrably struggling hitter in 2026.