Market unavailableW
May 6, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6250
Read original reasoning
McCullers' last 3 starts: 9 K, 3 K, 4 K — 2 of 3 missed this line badly. His 2026 BB rate is 17 in 31.1 IP (4.9 BB/9), indicating he's issuing free passes rather than missing bats consistently. LAD is not a high-K team — .271 team AVG and .788 OPS reflect quality contact. The 9-K outing vs BAL appears to be the outlier; the 3 and 4 K starts are more representative of his current command issues. Market at -160 already leans under, consistent with our read.
Market unavailableW
Apr 24, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8600
Read original reasoning
McCullers has recorded exactly 4 Ks in each of his last 3 starts (4, 4, 4) — 12 total in 13.1 IP. His 6.20 ERA and shortened outings (4.0, 4.1, 5.0 IP in last 3) cap his K ceiling. Hitting 5.5+ requires a longer, cleaner outing he hasn't managed all season. Under is the clear lean.
Market unavailableW
Apr 18, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6200
Read original reasoning
McCullers last 3 starts: 4K in 4.1 IP, 4K in 4.0 IP, 9K in 7.0 IP. Two of three starts came in well under 5.5, and both sub-5.5 outings came with very short IP (4.0-4.1), meaning limited opportunities to accumulate Ks. If he struggles early again — as his 5.87 ERA and 6-run last start suggest — he likely won't get deep enough to reach 6. STL team K rate is modest (6.29 K/9 allowed, not a swing-and-miss lineup). Under at -161 reflects the market's caution, but the recent profile leans under.
