Logan Gilbert over 7.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 27, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1000
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Gilbert's 2026 K/9 is 9.74 (197 K in 182.0 IP). The LAA lineup is weak — .234 AVG, .679 OPS, with multiple hitters posting 0.000 OPS in career matchups vs Gilbert (Jose Siri 5 PA 0.000, Christian Moore 3 PA 0.000, Denzer Guzman 3 PA 0.000, Tyler Heineman 3 PA 0.000, Oswald Peraza 2 PA 0.000). Gilbert's 17.5 outs over is -182 favorite, projecting 6+ innings — at his K/9 pace that yields ~6.5 Ks in 6.0 IP, ~7.6 in 7.0 IP. His last two quality starts produced 7K and 11K. The +110 line on over 7.5 offers legitimate value. Risk: his most recent outing was abbreviated at 4.0 IP with only 3 Ks vs HOU.
Logan Gilbert over 6.5 strikeoutsL
Sep 22, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1800
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Gilbert's last 3 starts: 7K, 11K, 10K — averaging 9.3 per outing. 2026 full-season rate is 194K in 178 IP (9.8 K/9). In his one 2026 start vs HOU he posted 7K in 7 IP. HOU team offense is .240 AVG/.723 OPS, 22nd in run scoring at 4.4 R/G. Gilbert is on 7 days extended rest. Market prices Under heavily at -167 but recent strikeout volume is overwhelming. T-Mobile Park pitcher-friendly (runs factor 0.95) extends outings.
Logan Gilbert over 6.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 15, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8300
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Gilbert's 2026 K/9 is 9.79 (187 K in 172.0 IP). His three career starts vs LAA produced exactly 7, 8, and 9 Ks — every one clearing 6.5. Last two full outings: 11 K (7.0 IP vs TEX) and 10 K (4.2 IP vs ATH). The 4-K start (Sep 4 vs ATH) was a 7-ER meltdown where outing length — not strikeout rate — was the cap. LAA is a .234 BA / .680 OPS lineup with known swing tendencies. Market pricing (-116/-120) is essentially a coin flip that undervalues Gilbert's consistent LAA pattern.
