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Throws R · 2026 player profile
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-03-29 — 2026-07-31 · 5 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.
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Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Original reasoning and recorded results.
Showing 1 past picks from 1 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.
Mar 29, 2026 ET · Odds at publication unavailable
Morales last 3 starts: 5K (4.2 IP), 4K (6.0 IP), 2K (5.0 IP) — clear declining trend, averaging 6.5 K/9 over that stretch vs his season 8.0 K/9. TOR is hitting .284 AVG / .778 OPS through 2 GP, making strong contact. Season opener adds workload uncertainty. Under at -112 offers reasonable value against a Toronto lineup that is making consistent contact.
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What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Whiff% | xwOBA | EV | HMov | VMov | Spin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam FastballFF | 46% | 97.2 | 9.6% | 0.454 | 90.8 | -8.6 | 14.5 | 2425 |
| SliderSL | 27% | 85.8 | 30.2% | 0.392 | 89.6 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 2823 |
| SinkerSI | 11% | 96.2 | 18.8% | 0.272 | 84.8 | -14.7 | 11.9 | 2387 |
| ChangeupCH | 9% | 89.3 | 12.5% | 0.469 | 83.4 | -15.9 | 9.1 | 2012 |
| SweeperSW | 8% | 81.6 | 36.4% | 0.267 | 76.9 | 18.9 | -1.4 | 2906 |
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.
| Season / team | G | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Athletics | 5 | 2 | 16.0 | 13 | 14 | 13.50 | 2.56 |
| 2025 · Athletics | 10 | 9 | 48.2 | 43 | 18 | 3.14 | 1.15 |
| Career | 15 | 11 | 64.2 | 56 | 32 | 5.71 | 1.50 |
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | 14 | 0.344 | 0.462 | 88.2 | 0.083 |
| 2026-07-26 | 21 | 0.280 | 0.211 | 84.2 | 0.067 |
| 2026-05-02 | 13 | 0.462 | 0.444 | 88.9 | 0.143 |
| 2026-04-04 | 22 | 0.455 | 0.533 | 88.4 | 0.067 |
| 2026-03-29 | 20 | 0.500 | 0.278 | 93.6 | 0.231 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
Sample: 90 pa
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
Sample: 62 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 54 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 55 bip
Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.
