Market unavailableW
May 29, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7600
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Severino's K totals vs NYY specifically: 7 K (Apr 08 2026), 3 K (Jun 29 2025), 2 K (May 11 2025) — average of 4 Ks per start vs this lineup. Yankees hitters make elite contact against him: Judge .500, Chisholm .455, Goldschmidt .400, Bellinger .333 career. High-contact lineup suppresses strikeout upside. While Severino struck out 10 vs LAA (May 21), that was not the Yankees lineup. NYY team OPS of .770 with strong bat-to-ball skills limits his ceiling here.
Market unavailableV
May 26, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9000
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Severino's 3 starts vs SEA: 6K (Jul 29 2025), 5K (May 05 2025), 6K (Mar 27 2025) — averaging 5.7K. Most recent start this season: 10K in 7.0 IP. SEA team AVG .227 (below-average contact rate). Over 5.5 at -111 is reasonably priced; the SEA matchup history and Severino's strong most recent outing support clearing this line.
Market unavailableL
May 21, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0800
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Severino's last 3 starts: 7 K (vs SF, 6 IP), 4 K (vs BAL, 5.1 IP), 3 K (vs PHI, 5.0 IP) — 3-start average of 4.7 Ks. Two of three starts came in under 6 IP, capping total strikeout ceiling. While Angels carry MLB-worst 25.7% strikeout rate which could help, Severino's own declining efficiency trend (walking 31 in 54.2 IP in 2026) and short outings suggest under 5.5 Ks is the right lean. Market prices under at +108, offering value relative to recent production.
