Manny Machado

Career vs Misiorowski: 3 PA, .000 AVG, 0.000 OPS in 2026 — went hitless in all three appearances. Note: small sample, but directionally consistent with Misiorowski's elite suppression (.157 opponents' average, 1.80 ERA, 0.80 WHIP). Machado's 2026 season stands at .217 AVG — below average contact rate. Market pricing the under at +114 is near coin-flip, offering value on the down side given the pitcher dominance context.

Machado's career vs Gausman: 25 PA, .360 AVG, 1.000 OPS, 2 HR. Recent trend holds — 2025: 3 PA 1.000 OPS, 2026: 3 PA 1.334 OPS. This is one of the more consistent BvP edges on the board: Machado has produced at or above 1.000 OPS in each of the last three seasons he's faced Gausman. Season SLG of .407 with 30 HR and .710 OPS (vR 0.714). Petco HR factor 0.88 is mild suppressor, but Machado generates extra-base contact reliably enough. The +124 line on 1.5 TB reflects meaningful value given his sustained excellence in this matchup.

Machado is 0-for-8 in career plate appearances against Soroka — 9 PA, .000 AVG, 0.111 OPS spanning 2019, 2024, and 2025. That is an extraordinary career futility number against a single pitcher. His 2026 season slash of .216/.303/.407 is already below average, and his L7d OPS of 0.529 signals a recent cold stretch. Soroka's 3.31 ERA and 8.89 K/9 make him a genuine swing-and-miss threat. The +126 market price implies only 44.2% hitless probability — the career data suggests it is meaningfully higher than that.