Marcus Semien

Semien is 0-for-4 career vs Alvarez (4 PA, .000 AVG, 0.000 OPS, 2026 only — small sample, but consistent). His 2026 season is a down year: .216 AVG, .342 SLG, .612 OPS vs RHP. L7d OPS is .513 — cooling off further. Alvarez's LHP angle adds pressure; Semien posts just .655 OPS vs LHP. The +134 odds offer genuine value on the under given the BvP history and overall offensive struggles.

Semien is batting just .217 on the season with a .282 OBP — well below average contact production. His L7d OPS of 0.527 confirms a cold stretch. Facing Thornton (LHP), Semien's vL OPS of 0.660 is slightly better than his vR but still below league average. The committee's Under 8.5 lean suppresses team offense broadly. Under at +126 offers mild value on a struggling hitter against a capable lefty.

Semien is hitting .217 on the season with a vR OPS of only 0.612 and has been ice-cold over the last 7 days (L7d OPS 0.377). He now draws Cody Bradford, a LHP, but his vL OPS of 0.641 is barely an upgrade — there is no favorable platoon advantage here. At +118, the market underprices how suppressed his recent contact has been. A bat hitting .217 overall with a 0.377 OPS in the last week is one of the clearest under-hit candidates on the board.