Matt McLain

McLain is 0-for-4 with a 0.000 OPS vs Drohan in 2026. His season AVG sits at .188 with a .621 OPS vs RHP — one of the weakest profiles in the CIN lineup. His L7d OPS is 0.295, making him one of the coldest bats in the park. Drohan's ~9 K/9 further suppresses McLain's limited contact ability. The Under 0.5 at +110 is positive odds on a batter with multiple stacked under signals.

McLain is 0-for-7 career vs Michael King with a 0.000 OPS across three seasons (2023: 1 PA 0.000, 2025: 2 PA 0.000, 2026: 4 PA 0.000). He has never recorded a hit against King in any plate appearance. Season .190 AVG and a dismal .212 OPS in the L7d compound the career futility. King's 3.23 ERA and 1.17 WHIP this season make him a tough out even for healthier bats. Strong statistical case for under.

McLain is one of the weakest hitters in this lineup: .192 AVG, .590 OPS vs RHP on the season across 317 PA. Against Ashcraft in 2026 specifically: 0-for-6, 0.000 OPS across 6 plate appearances — a total inability to make contact against him. His L28d OPS of 0.368 confirms a prolonged cold stretch well beyond just this matchup. Ashcraft's 9.94 K/9 creates additional strikeout pressure on already-struggling hitters. Market under at -120 offers modest value given the convergence of poor season numbers, cold recent form, and a 0-for-6 mark against today's starter.