Max Meyer under 5.5 strikeoutsW
Jul 18, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8800
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Meyer's last 3 starts: 4K (5.0 IP @SEA), 5K (6.0 IP @COL), 5K (7.0 IP @STL) — all three under 5.5, including outings of 6-7 innings. Season K/9 is 9.67 (116K/108IP), but recent form shows 4-5 Ks regardless of inning count. Only previous start vs MIL (Jul 2024): 3K in 4 IP. Market is nearly a coin flip (-114/-122), but three consecutive unders with deep outings creates a clear data signal on the under at 5.5.
Max Meyer under 5.5 strikeoutsW
Jul 7, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0800
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Meyer's 2026 overall K/9 is 9.78 across 103 IP, but his last 3 starts tell a different story: 5K, 5K, 7K — only one of three cleared the 5.5 line. Extended rest (6 days) can disrupt rhythm rather than guarantee a peak outing. SEA's .694 OPS is weak, particularly without Julio Rodriguez (concussion), but lower-quality lineups can actually reduce strikeout volume as batters put more weak contact in play rather than miss entirely. The under at +108 with two of his last three starts sitting at exactly 5 Ks carries real positive expected value.
Market unavailableL
Jul 1, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6600
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Meyer is 9-0 with a 2.60 ERA and 107 K in 97.0 IP in 2026 (9.93 K/9). Last 3 starts: 5, 7, 9 Ks — two of three cleared this line, averaging 7.0 per outing. COL lineup ranks among the weakest in baseball: team .254 AVG, -103 run differential on the season. BvP reinforces the edge — Tovar is 9 PA .222 AVG/.444 OPS vs Meyer, Rumfield 0.333 OPS in 3 PA, McCarthy 0.000 OPS in 3 PA 2026. Coors Field slightly suppresses K rates at altitude, but Meyer's dominance this season (8 HR allowed in 97 IP) and a depleted COL lineup that has dropped two straight by 11 and 7 runs makes the over the clear call at 5.5.
