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CHC · Batter

Michael Busch

Bats L · 2026 player profile

MLB / 1B
Charts through 2026-09-30 · season stats retrieved 2026-10-13
Average.2422026 · MLB season
Home runs202026 · MLB season
RBI772026 · MLB season
OPS.7452026 · MLB season

Quality of contact

10-game rolling xwOBA

.200.300.400.50010-game xwOBALEAGUE AVG .302
10-game rolling xwOBA
League Avg

2026-03-26 — 2026-09-30 · 159 recorded dates. Higher xwOBA means stronger expected production.

CHC at —

Matchup unavailable

Our picks & reasoning

No upcoming matchup in this schedule snapshot.

OddsIndex analysis

Our picks on Busch

Saved upcoming picks

No saved upcoming picks for Michael Busch.

Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.

Our past picks

Original reasoning and recorded results.

Showing 20 past picks from 25 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.

Michael Busch under 0.5 hitsL

Sep 22, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.4000

Read original reasoning

Career vs Junk: 3 PA, 0-for-3, .000 AVG, .000 OPS — went 0-for-2 in 2026 meeting as well. Season .239 AVG and .736 OPS vs RHP already signals below-average contact production against right-handers. Under 0.5 hits at +140 offers plus-money value against a batter with zero career hits off this pitcher in limited but consistent exposure. Under 6.5 game total context supports suppressed CHC scoring overall.

Michael Busch under 0.5 hitsW

Sep 18, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2200

Read original reasoning

Busch is 0-for-4 career vs Burns (0.000 OPS) with PAs spanning both 2025 and 2026 — two separate seasons of no production against him. His season vR OPS is 0.740, modest against right-handed pitching. Burns' elite swing-and-miss rate makes Busch's consistent hitless track record more credible than a fluke. +122 carries value given the multi-year sample.

Michael Busch under 0.5 hitsL

Aug 31, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.3400

Read original reasoning

Busch is 0-for-4 with 0.250 OPS against Harrison in 2026 (4 PA). His season vL OPS is 0.741 — mediocre against left-handed pitching, which is exactly what Harrison is. Busch's overall numbers (.239/.349/.391) are below league average and his L7d OPS has cratered to 0.590. With Harrison's 11+ K/9 and Busch's poor left-on-left splits, the under at +134 represents clear plus-money value. Four plate appearances of 0.000 AVG against this starter in the current season is a meaningful signal even acknowledging the small sample size.

Market lines · saved snapshot

Snapshot unavailable. Market lines from the latest recorded feed update. Availability may have changed.

Market snapshot unavailable.

At the plate

Which pitches he handles and how he makes decisions at the plate.

Where the ball goes

350 FTLeft · PullCenterRight · Pull
Batted Balls444
Hits145
Home Runs20
Pull%58.6
Out
1B
2B/3B
HR

Contact by location

94.823 BIP88.037 BIP82.929 BIP93.055 BIP94.182 BIP89.652 BIP84.334 BIP92.141 BIP91.013 BIP87.9High66.4Away74.8Low89.4InsideCatcher's perspective
66.4mph
94.8mphExit velocity

Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.

Data detail

Season & career

Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team.

Season / teamGPAHHRRBIAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026 · Chicago Cubs1607101452077.242.352.393.745
2025 · Chicago Cubs1555921373490.261.343.523.866
2024 · Chicago Cubs1525671232165.248.335.440.775
2023 · Los Angeles Dodgers27811227.167.247.292.539
Career494195041777239.246.340.443.783
Recorded game dates 159 dates

Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.

DatePA*xwOBABAEV (mph)Barrel fraction
2026-09-3030.4050.00099.50.000
2026-09-2940.3030.00087.30.000
2026-09-2730.2100.00090.80.000
2026-09-2580.2920.57190.50.000
2026-09-2440.2440.00093.30.333
2026-09-2340.3890.50089.30.000
2026-09-2240.2700.16788.10.000
2026-09-2050.3420.25085.70.000
2026-09-1940.7280.66793.20.500
2026-09-1850.3460.00092.00.000

*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.

How to read these numbers
xwOBA

Sample: 710 pa

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.

Exit velocity

Sample: 440 bip

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

Barrel rate

Sample: 440 bip

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

Hard-hit rate

Sample: 440 bip

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

Strikeout rate

Sample: 710 pa

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.

Walk rate

Sample: 710 pa

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.