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ATL · Batter

Michael Harris II

Bats L · 2026 player profile

MLB / CF
Charts through 2026-10-07 · season stats retrieved 2026-10-13
Average.2942026 · MLB season
Home runs262026 · MLB season
RBI872026 · MLB season
OPS.8122026 · MLB season

Quality of contact

10-game rolling xwOBA

.200.300.400.500.600.70010-game xwOBALEAGUE AVG .302
10-game rolling xwOBA
League Avg

2026-03-27 — 2026-10-07 · 160 recorded dates. Higher xwOBA means stronger expected production.

ATL at —

Matchup unavailable

Our picks & reasoning

No upcoming matchup in this schedule snapshot.

OddsIndex analysis

Our picks on II

Saved upcoming picks

No saved upcoming picks for Michael Harris II.

Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.

Our past picks

Original reasoning and recorded results.

Showing 20 past picks from 43 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.

Michael Harris II under 0.5 hitsL

Sep 30, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.6000

Read original reasoning

Harris is 2-for-15 (.133 AVG) career vs Sánchez with a 0.321 OPS across 16 PA — the worst matchup of any ATL regular against this pitcher. Year-by-year: 0.000 OPS in 2023 (5 PA), 0.533 in 2024 (6 PA), 0.400 in 2025 (5 PA). No career matchup data in 2026 suggests he has not faced Sánchez this year, meaning all available evidence points to consistent suppression. Harris hits .294 on the season and is a premium contact bat — Sánchez's ability to neutralize him this thoroughly is a genuine statistical edge. Market pays +160 for the under, which is excellent value given the matchup profile.

Michael Harris II under 0.5 hitsW

Sep 19, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.8000

Read original reasoning

Career vs Wesneski: 0-for-4 across 2023 and 2024, posting a .000 AVG and 0.000 OPS in those matchups. Harris is hitting .293 with a strong L7d OPS of 1.185, making the +180 on the under particularly valuable — the market is pricing his season form, not the specific pitcher matchup. Both career PA clusters (2 PA in 2023, 2 PA in 2024) produced zero hits. The BvP data is the primary signal here, outweighing his hot recent form. Under 0.5 hits at +180 represents strong value.

Michael Harris II under 0.5 hitsV

Sep 4, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.3200

Read original reasoning

Harris II is 2-for-15 (.133 AVG, 0.321 OPS) across 16 career PA vs Sánchez with zero HR. The suppression is consistent across all years: 0.000 OPS (5 PA, 2023), 0.533 OPS (6 PA, 2024), 0.400 OPS (5 PA, 2025). Sánchez's 10.37 K/9 and most recent outing of 8 K in 7 IP demonstrate elite current form. Market at +132 implies 43.1% probability — meaningful value given Harris II's unbroken pattern of failure vs this specific pitcher.

Market lines · saved snapshot

Snapshot unavailable. Market lines from the latest recorded feed update. Availability may have changed.

Market snapshot unavailable.

At the plate

Which pitches he handles and how he makes decisions at the plate.

Where the ball goes

350 FTLeft · PullCenterRight · Pull
Batted Balls499
Hits183
Home Runs26
Pull%60.1
Out
1B
2B/3B
HR

Contact by location

98.815 BIP95.327 BIP86.036 BIP96.544 BIP97.564 BIP87.651 BIP90.639 BIP96.544 BIP94.231 BIP84.4High68.9Away84.9Low81.8InsideCatcher's perspective
68.9mph
98.8mphExit velocity

Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.

Data detail

Season & career

Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team.

Season / teamGPAHHRRBIAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026 · Atlanta Braves1556211742687.294.321.491.812
2025 · Atlanta Braves1606411522086.249.268.409.677
2024 · Atlanta Braves1104701161648.264.304.418.722
2023 · Atlanta Braves1385391481857.293.331.477.808
2022 · Atlanta Braves1144411231964.297.339.514.853
Career677271271399342.278.311.460.771
Recorded game dates 160 dates

Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.

DatePA*xwOBABAEV (mph)Barrel fraction
2026-10-0740.5050.667107.00.000
2026-10-0640.2300.25075.50.000
2026-10-0450.2780.60094.50.200
2026-10-0340.1470.00094.70.000
2026-10-0140.4280.33389.90.500
2026-09-3050.2660.20079.90.000
2026-09-2930.3981.00073.20.000
2026-09-2650.4450.80086.00.250
2026-09-2530.1770.00099.80.000
2026-09-2450.5470.60089.10.200

*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.

How to read these numbers
xwOBA

Sample: 621 pa

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.

Exit velocity

Sample: 477 bip

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

Barrel rate

Sample: 477 bip

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

Hard-hit rate

Sample: 477 bip

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

Strikeout rate

Sample: 621 pa

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.

Walk rate

Sample: 621 pa

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.