Michael King over 5.5 strikeoutsW
Oct 4, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1600
Read original reasoning
King posted 7.82 K/9 across 192.0 IP in 2026 (167 K). Last 3 starts: 8K, 5K, 6K — cleared 5.5 in two of three. Career vs MIL across three appearances: 10K, 8K, 5K — again clearing the line in two of three. On 12 days' extended rest, he should have full stuff. Market prices this at +116 (46.3% implied), suggesting the line-setter leans under — but King's K rate and this specific matchup history argue for value on the over. Postseason focus could sharpen his approach further.
Michael King over 4.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 22, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8300
Read original reasoning
King's 2026 K/9 is 7.66 (154 K in 181.0 IP), making 4.5 a low bar for a full outing. His three 2026 starts vs LAD specifically generated 9K (May 18), 5K (Jun 28), 5K (Jul 03) — averaging 6.3 Ks against this lineup. Last 3 overall starts trended soft (6, 4, 3 Ks vs COL, SF, NYY), but the Dodgers lineup (.765 OPS, power-heavy) historically generates more swing-and-miss. At -120, the market prices 4.5 as achievable; the LAD-specific BvP and season K/9 support the over despite the recent dip.
Michael King over 4.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 17, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0800
Read original reasoning
King's season K/9 is 7.61 over 175 IP. Last 3 starts: 4, 3, 6 Ks averaging 4.33 — tight to the line but Coors at altitude extends plate appearances. Career vs COL lineup shows extreme suppression: Tovar 13 PA .167 AVG .417 OPS, Goodman 6 PA .000 AVG .167 OPS, Rumfield/Johnston/Veen/Amador all 0-for-3 in 2026 vs King. Weak contact lineup boosts K opportunities. Market prices over at +108, representing real value given COL's career futility vs King.
