Michael McGreevy under 3.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 19, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2200
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McGreevy's 2026 K/9 is 6.3 (112 K in 160.0 IP), modest for a strikeout prop. Last 3 starts: 6, 4, 4 Ks — two of three hit the under. More damning: in his lone 2026 start vs WSH (Apr 08), he recorded just 1 K in 6.0 IP. WSH put up 9 runs on STL yesterday and will be an aggressive, confident lineup. At +122, this is a value under with a clear BvP red flag supporting it.
Michael McGreevy over 3.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 1, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0000
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McGreevy's 2026 K/9 is 6.20 (98 K in 142.1 IP), and his last 3 starts produced 6, 4, and 3 Ks — he's hit the over in 2 of 3 recent outings. At +100 (even money), this line offers real value for a pitcher whose season rate projects ~3.6 K in a 5-inning start and ~4.6 K over 6. He's confirmed with 6 days rest. LAD's lineup is capable but McGreevy keeps contact manageable (3.86 ERA). Key risk: Aug 26 was a 5.0 IP blowup (7 ER, 3 K), underscoring outing-length volatility. If he gets 5+ clean innings, the over is likely.
Michael McGreevy under 4.5 strikeoutsW
Aug 26, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7500
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McGreevy's 2026 K/9 is 6.23 across 137.1 IP — translates to roughly 4.7 Ks per 6.8 innings, a razor-thin margin over 4.5. Last 3 starts: 4, 6, 4 Ks — 2 of 3 under the line. His profile is explicitly soft-contact/changeup-first, not a power pitcher. BAL lineup is depleted (8 players on IL) but that suppresses run support, not necessarily strikeout generation — McGreevy gets outs via weak contact, not swing-and-miss. Under -133 is heavy but the direction is clear.