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STL · Pitcher

Michael McGreevy

Throws R · 2026 player profile

MLB / P
Charts through 2026-09-25 · season stats retrieved 2026-10-13
ERA3.952026 · MLB season
Strikeouts1152026 · MLB season
Innings168.22026 · MLB season
WHIP1.282026 · MLB season

Quality of contact allowed

10-game rolling xwOBA

.200.300.400.50010-game xwOBA against
10-game rolling xwOBA against

2026-03-28 — 2026-09-25 · 31 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.

STL at —

Matchup unavailable

Our picks & reasoning

No upcoming matchup in this schedule snapshot.

OddsIndex analysis

Our picks on McGreevy

Saved upcoming picks

No saved upcoming picks for Michael McGreevy.

Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.

Our past picks

Original reasoning and recorded results.

Showing 19 past picks from 19 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.

Michael McGreevy under 3.5 strikeoutsW

Sep 19, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2200

Read original reasoning

McGreevy's 2026 K/9 is 6.3 (112 K in 160.0 IP), modest for a strikeout prop. Last 3 starts: 6, 4, 4 Ks — two of three hit the under. More damning: in his lone 2026 start vs WSH (Apr 08), he recorded just 1 K in 6.0 IP. WSH put up 9 runs on STL yesterday and will be an aggressive, confident lineup. At +122, this is a value under with a clear BvP red flag supporting it.

Michael McGreevy over 3.5 strikeoutsW

Sep 1, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0000

Read original reasoning

McGreevy's 2026 K/9 is 6.20 (98 K in 142.1 IP), and his last 3 starts produced 6, 4, and 3 Ks — he's hit the over in 2 of 3 recent outings. At +100 (even money), this line offers real value for a pitcher whose season rate projects ~3.6 K in a 5-inning start and ~4.6 K over 6. He's confirmed with 6 days rest. LAD's lineup is capable but McGreevy keeps contact manageable (3.86 ERA). Key risk: Aug 26 was a 5.0 IP blowup (7 ER, 3 K), underscoring outing-length volatility. If he gets 5+ clean innings, the over is likely.

Michael McGreevy under 4.5 strikeoutsW

Aug 26, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7500

Read original reasoning

McGreevy's 2026 K/9 is 6.23 across 137.1 IP — translates to roughly 4.7 Ks per 6.8 innings, a razor-thin margin over 4.5. Last 3 starts: 4, 6, 4 Ks — 2 of 3 under the line. His profile is explicitly soft-contact/changeup-first, not a power pitcher. BAL lineup is depleted (8 players on IL) but that suppresses run support, not necessarily strikeout generation — McGreevy gets outs via weak contact, not swing-and-miss. Under -133 is heavy but the direction is clear.

Market lines · saved snapshot

Snapshot unavailable. Market lines from the latest recorded feed update. Availability may have changed.

Market snapshot unavailable.

Inside the repertoire

What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.

The arsenal

PitchUsageVeloWhiff%xwOBAEVHMovVMovSpin
4-Seam FastballFF
25%
91.914.8%0.37892.0-8.612.42237
ChangeupCH
20%
87.026.3%0.31285.4-13.82.01709
SinkerSI
17%
90.812.3%0.31588.4-12.14.72188
CurveballCU
13%
78.627.9%0.28891.412.4-11.82529
CutterFC
11%
87.617.1%0.41886.50.96.22315
SweeperSW
10%
81.827.9%0.40592.414.3-1.82463
SliderSL
4%
83.623.2%0.44597.43.8-1.72397

Contact allowed by location

88.329 BIP91.649 BIP86.221 BIP90.462 BIP95.778 BIP87.236 BIP92.044 BIP97.154 BIP92.626 BIP79.1High82.2Away79.6Low85.8InsideCatcher's perspective
79.1mph
97.1mphExit velocity

Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.

Data detail

Season & career

Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.

Season / teamGGSIPKBBERAWHIP
2026 · St. Louis Cardinals3131168.2115483.951.28
2025 · St. Louis Cardinals171695.258204.421.25
2024 · St. Louis Cardinals4323.01821.960.78
Career5250287.1191703.951.23
Recorded game dates 31 dates

Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.

DatePA*xwOBABAEV (mph)Barrel fraction
2026-09-25250.3810.39191.60.048
2026-09-19190.3800.27890.30.059
2026-09-13230.2830.15888.10.000
2026-09-07270.3540.25087.70.048
2026-09-01220.3030.25090.30.062
2026-08-26280.4030.40090.20.136
2026-08-20200.2320.16786.80.000
2026-08-15250.2330.21783.70.059
2026-08-09260.3860.33385.10.100
2026-08-03180.3320.23596.60.083

*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.

How to read these numbers
Walk rate

Sample: 702 pa

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.

Barrel rate allowed

Sample: 538 bip

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

Exit velocity allowed

Sample: 517 bip

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

BABIP allowed

Sample: 517 bip

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.