Apr 4, 2026 ET · Odds at publication unavailable
Read original reasoning
Abel's 2025 K rate was 9.0 K/9 (39 K in 39 IP). His last two full starts produced 9 Ks (6.0 IP vs PHI) and 6 Ks (4.0 IP vs CLE). Even in his rough 2026 debut he punched out 4 batters in 3.1 IP, clearing the 3.5 line. TB has no career matchup data against Abel, suggesting exposure to his high-spin repertoire. Control issues may limit his depth, but his K rate per batter is high enough to eclipse 3.5 even in a shortened outing.