Miles Mikolas under 2.5 strikeoutsW
Aug 6, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1000
Read original reasoning
Mikolas's 2026 K/9 is 4.58 (55 K in 108.0 IP) and his last three starts have been alarming: 3K @ATL (Aug 01), 1K vs ARI (Jul 26), 1K @COL (Jul 21). Only one of those three cleared 2.5. His 2026 PHI appearance produced just 1K in 3.1 IP. That's four recent relevant outings and only one above the line. The market prices the over at -156 based on season K rate, but recent form — a 3-1-1 K pattern in the last month — is the stronger signal. Mikolas is a contact-dependent pitcher whose swing-and-miss has completely evaporated.
Miles Mikolas under 2.5 strikeoutsL
Aug 1, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6200
Read original reasoning
Mikolas's last 3 starts: 1 K (4.0 IP vs ARI), 1 K (3.2 IP vs COL), 0 K (4.0 IP vs NYY) — a combined 2 Ks across 11.2 innings. His 2026 K/9 sits at 4.59 (52 K in 102.0 IP), and the trend is deteriorating. He does not miss bats. ATL's lineup is deep and capable, but Mikolas isn't generating whiffs against anyone right now. Under 2.5 is the clearest edge on this slate.
Miles Mikolas under 2.5 strikeoutsV
Jul 21, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0400
Read original reasoning
Mikolas' 2026 K/9 sits at 4.78 (50 K in 94.1 IP) — one of the lowest rates in MLB. Last 3 starts: 0K, 3K, 3K — cleared 2.5 only once in three attempts. Now pitching at Coors Field (altitude amplifies contact, suppresses strikeouts) on 15 days extended rest (rust factor). COL batters include contact-oriented hitters who make him work into count rather than chase. The +104 price represents exceptional value on what the recent data treats as near-certain.
