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KCR · Pitcher

Mitch Spence

Throws R · 2026 player profile

MLB / P
Charts through 2026-06-26 · season stats retrieved 2026-10-13
ERA21.212026 · MLB season
Strikeouts62026 · MLB season
Innings9.12026 · MLB season
WHIP3.002026 · MLB season

Quality of contact allowed

10-game rolling xwOBA

.200.300.400.50010-game xwOBA against
10-game rolling xwOBA against

2026-04-18 — 2026-06-26 · 3 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.

KCR at —

Matchup unavailable

Our picks & reasoning

No upcoming matchup in this schedule snapshot.

OddsIndex analysis

Our picks on Spence

Saved upcoming picks

No saved upcoming picks for Mitch Spence.

Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.

Our past picks

Original reasoning and recorded results.

Showing 1 past picks from 1 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.

Market unavailableW

Jun 15, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1500

Read original reasoning

Spence has been a strikeout void in every recent outing. His lone 2026 start: 3 K in 4 IP vs NYY. Prior two appearances: 1 K in 3 IP and 1 K in 3.1 IP. That's 5 Ks across his last 10+ IP — well below the 2.5 threshold at pace. Recalled from Triple-A with no sustained MLB sharpness, he posted 5 BB in 4 IP in April, which means walks not strikeouts. The Under 2.5 at +115 offers plus-money on an outcome that's happened in all 3 of his recent tracked starts.

Market lines · saved snapshot

Snapshot unavailable. Market lines from the latest recorded feed update. Availability may have changed.

Market snapshot unavailable.

Inside the repertoire

What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.

The arsenal

PitchUsageVeloWhiff%xwOBAEVHMovVMovSpin
CutterFC
38%
91.916.7%0.36690.82.57.32603
SinkerSI
19%
92.20.0%0.33591.2-11.67.22320
CurveballCU
17%
81.643.8%0.38294.79.4-10.32756
SliderSL
14%
84.825.0%0.37888.911.74.82693
ChangeupCH
7%
87.80.0%0.22899.8-11.33.31858
SweeperSW
6%
83.840.0%0.39889.215.00.42724

Contact allowed by location

87.81 BIP93.54 BIP101.41 BIP94.65 BIP86.46 BIP95.92 BIP92.66 BIP87.05 BIP84.7High81.9Away101.5Low90.9InsideCatcher's perspective
81.9mph
101.5mphExit velocity

Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.

Data detail

Season & career

Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.

Season / teamGGSIPKBBERAWHIP
2026 · Kansas City Royals319.16921.213.00
2025 · Athletics32884.266265.101.44
2024 · Oakland Athletics3524151.1126444.581.38
Career7033245.1198795.391.46
Recorded game dates 3 dates

Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.

DatePA*xwOBABAEV (mph)Barrel fraction
2026-06-26150.3950.66793.50.000
2026-06-15200.3240.36891.00.000
2026-04-18210.3720.26790.80.077

*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.

How to read these numbers
Walk rate

Sample: 56 pa

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.

Barrel rate allowed

Sample: 41 bip

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

Exit velocity allowed

Sample: 37 bip

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

BABIP allowed

Sample: 38 bip

Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.