Jun 15, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1500
Read original reasoning
Spence has been a strikeout void in every recent outing. His lone 2026 start: 3 K in 4 IP vs NYY. Prior two appearances: 1 K in 3 IP and 1 K in 3.1 IP. That's 5 Ks across his last 10+ IP — well below the 2.5 threshold at pace. Recalled from Triple-A with no sustained MLB sharpness, he posted 5 BB in 4 IP in April, which means walks not strikeouts. The Under 2.5 at +115 offers plus-money on an outcome that's happened in all 3 of his recent tracked starts.