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Bats L · 2026 player profile
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-04-15 — 2026-06-25 · 53 recorded dates. Higher xwOBA means stronger expected production.
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No saved upcoming picks for MJ Melendez.
Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Original reasoning and recorded results.
Showing 3 past picks from 3 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.
May 4, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9620
.324 AVG / .588 SLG / .983 OPS vs RHP in 2026 across 39 PA. L7d OPS 1.167 — hottest bat on the Mets roster. 2 HR already this season. Coors HR factor 1.193. Over 1.5 total bases at -104 is underpriced relative to his .588 SLG at an extreme hitter's park.
Apr 23, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8400
Career vs Joe Ryan: 19 PA, .067 AVG (1-for-15 in plate appearances with hits), 0.330 OPS across 2022 (9 PA, 0.222 OPS), 2023 (6 PA, 0.333 OPS), 2024 (4 PA, 0.500 OPS). While the 2024 small sample ticked up, the overall career body of work — .067 AVG over 19 PA — is a strong suppression signal. Melendez has had a hot start in 2026 (.313 AVG) but career BvP dominates the individual matchup. Under -119.
Apr 21, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7410
Melendez is 4-for-6 (.667 AVG, 2.133 OPS) in 5 career PA vs. SWR — consistent across both 2024 (2 PA, 3.000 OPS) and 2025 (3 PA, 1.667 OPS). Note: small sample, but positive trend in both seasons. His current season line is .357/.438/.714 with a 1.152 OPS vs RHP. SWR's 6.10 ERA and 4.8 K/9 indicate he's generating contact at a high rate, which benefits Melendez who makes hard contact.
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Which pitches he handles and how he makes decisions at the plate.
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team.
| Season / team | G | PA | H | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · New York Mets | 56 | 144 | 23 | 4 | 11 | .192 | .315 | .350 | .665 |
| 2025 · Kansas City Royals | 23 | 65 | 5 | 1 | 1 | .083 | .154 | .167 | .321 |
| 2024 · Kansas City Royals | 135 | 451 | 85 | 17 | 44 | .206 | .273 | .400 | .673 |
| 2023 · Kansas City Royals | 148 | 602 | 125 | 16 | 56 | .235 | .316 | .398 | .714 |
| 2022 · Kansas City Royals | 129 | 534 | 100 | 18 | 62 | .217 | .313 | .393 | .706 |
| Career | 491 | 1796 | 338 | 56 | 174 | .213 | .298 | .385 | .683 |
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | 2 | 0.480 | 0.500 | 98.7 | 0.000 |
| 2026-06-24 | 5 | 0.319 | 0.250 | 99.5 | 0.000 |
| 2026-06-23 | 4 | 0.507 | 0.000 | 95.0 | 0.500 |
| 2026-06-21 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.000 | — | — |
| 2026-06-20 | 1 | 0.101 | 0.000 | 92.3 | 0.000 |
| 2026-06-18 | 4 | 0.175 | 0.000 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | 2 | 0.049 | 0.000 | 86.6 | 0.000 |
| 2026-06-15 | 2 | 0.351 | 0.000 | — | — |
| 2026-06-14 | 4 | 0.541 | 0.000 | 92.2 | 0.000 |
| 2026-06-13 | 3 | 0.179 | 0.333 | 110.1 | 0.000 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
Sample: 144 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
Sample: 72 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 72 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 72 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 144 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
Sample: 144 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
