Nelson Velázquez under 0.5 hitsV
Aug 1, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8100
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Velázquez is 0-for-5 career (.000 AVG, 0.000 OPS) against Gausman — zeros recorded in two separate seasons: 2022 (2 PA, 0.000 OPS) and 2023 (3 PA, 0.000 OPS). That is sustained failure across independent samples, not a single-game fluke. His season split compounds the case: vR OPS of just 0.513, meaning he is one of the weakest right-handed-pitcher matchups in the STL lineup. Gausman's splitter/forkball mix historically suppresses contact from hitters who struggle with movement. Market at -123 is fair; the BvP data provides a genuine statistical edge.
