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KCR · Pitcher

Noah Cameron

Throws L · 2026 player profile

MLB / P
ERA4.112026 · MLB season
Strikeouts1582026 · MLB season
Innings177.12026 · MLB season
WHIP1.232026 · MLB season

Quality of contact allowed

10-game rolling xwOBA

.200.300.400.50010-game xwOBA against
10-game rolling xwOBA against

31 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.

KCR at —

Matchup unavailable

Our picks & reasoning

No upcoming game on the schedule.

OddsIndex analysis

Our picks on Cameron

Live / Upcoming

No current picks for Noah Cameron.

Our past picks

Original reasoning and recorded results.

Showing 20 past picks from 23 linked picks.

Noah Cameron over 4.5 strikeoutsL

Sep 25, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1000

Read original reasoning

Cameron is at 155 K in 172.1 IP in 2026 — 8.10 K/9. Last 3 starts: 6K, 4K, 7K, averaging 5.67 Ks, which clears 4.5 in two of three. In his three career starts vs CLE specifically, he posted 5K, 8K, and 6K — averaging 6.3, well over the 4.5 line. Market is paying +110 on the Over, implying the line is set conservatively based on his one 4-K outing. CLE pitching staff runs 9.63 K/9 suggesting they do not have a high-contact lineup to suppress Cameron's K upside. Value on the Over at plus-money.

Noah Cameron over 5.5 strikeoutsW

Sep 19, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1000

Read original reasoning

Cameron's 2026 K/9 is 8.06 (149 K in 166.1 IP). Last 3 starts: 4, 7, 7 Ks — hit over 5.5 in 2 of 3. PIT is 18-32 vs LHP this season, one of the more exploitable platoon splits in the NL. Road ERA 3.18 in 14 starts per news intel. The +110 price offers real value for a pitcher averaging 6+ Ks over his last stretch. Lean under 7.5 total supports a pitcher-controlled game.

Noah Cameron under 5.5 strikeoutsW

Sep 13, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8500

Read original reasoning

Cameron's 2026 K/9 is 8.15 (145 K over 160.1 IP) — solid but not elite. Last 3 starts: 7 K, 7 K, 3 K — the 3-K start came in only 5.0 IP before being pulled after 4 ER. The volatility is real: if BOS jumps ahead early (61.9% win probability), Cameron's outing length gets compressed. A shortened start caps strikeout ceiling fast. BOS pitching staff ranks among the better lineups in the game today. The 5.0 IP, 3 K outing from Sep 2 shows Cameron's floor is well below 5.5. Under at -118 (54% implied) is the right side given outing-length risk.

Inside the repertoire

What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.

The arsenal

PitchUsageVeloWhiff%xwOBAEVHMovVMovSpin
4-Seam FastballFF
24%
92.517.1%0.37291.16.016.92307
CutterFC
21%
89.820.9%0.31986.4-2.59.32332
ChangeupCH
20%
81.035.6%0.28683.512.59.71631
CurveballCU
16%
81.629.3%0.23787.8-3.7-9.32295
SliderSL
13%
85.234.6%0.31789.9-3.33.12470
SinkerSI
5%
91.57.7%0.37691.812.611.12244

Contact allowed by location

81.956 BIP90.345 BIP90.723 BIP86.948 BIP94.989 BIP90.054 BIP88.026 BIP91.458 BIP84.527 BIP72.9High80.6Away84.9Low81.6InsideCatcher's perspective
72.9mph
94.9mphExit velocity

Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.

Data detail

Season & career

Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.

Season / teamGGSIPKBBERAWHIP
2026 · Kansas City Royals3130177.1158584.111.23
2025 · Kansas City Royals2424138.1114432.991.10
Career5554315.22721013.621.17
Recorded game dates 31 dates
DatePA*xwOBABAEV (mph)Barrel fraction
2026-09-25270.3780.31889.30.095
2026-09-19260.3960.29289.30.222
2026-09-13230.2790.19086.80.059
2026-09-07220.2000.15081.70.000
2026-09-02220.2500.25092.90.077
2026-08-27250.3210.26184.90.100
2026-08-21200.2580.11885.50.000
2026-08-16290.1600.03685.30.000
2026-08-10240.3290.27392.40.050
2026-08-05280.1730.07784.50.000

*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.

Data availability

Data through 2026-09-25.

Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.

Charts

Available

Observations through 2026-09-25.

Season and career

Available

Observations through 2026-10-13.

Next matchup

No upcoming game

Observations through 2026-10-13.

Picks

Available

Observations through 2026-10-14.

How these figures are built

Form: Rolling form is a 10-game rolling xwOBA against; by game date shows each recorded date. Recorded dates are chart observations grouped by date, not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.

The Edge: Higher percentiles indicate a stronger ranking within our comparison group, not a betting probability. A metric outside the comparison group shows no percentile. Walk rate: 746 pa; Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.. Barrel rate allowed: 525 bip; Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.. Exit velocity allowed: 490 bip; Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.. BABIP allowed: 504 bip; Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced..

Our picks: Linked picks since 2026-01-01.