Noah Schultz under 3.5 strikeoutsW
Aug 7, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9900
Read original reasoning
Schultz has averaged 3.67 Ks over his last 3 starts (4 vs TB in 5.0 IP, 5 vs NYY in 3.1 IP, 2 vs TEX in 3.2 IP) — and was pulled before the 4th inning in two of those three. His season K/9 (~8.0) is reasonable but means nothing if his leash is short. With a 5.82 ERA and 1.39 WHIP on the year, his manager has shown willingness to pull him early. CLE's lineup posts a .232 team AVG and .680 OPS — not a swing-and-miss unit that hands out Ks. The market is nearly split (-101 Under vs -139 Over), making the Under the value side given Schultz's short-outing pattern.
Noah Schultz under 4.5 strikeoutsV
Aug 1, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6000
Read original reasoning
Schultz enters at 3-7 with a 6.15 ERA, signaling persistent command issues that inflate pitch counts and shorten outings. TB's lineup (.258 AVG, .731 OPS) is patient and disciplined, capable of working counts to force early exits. News intel confirms the Rays are well-rested at home after yesterday's 6-1 loss — expect urgency and discipline from their lineup. Short outings cap Schultz's K ceiling: fewer innings pitched means fewer K opportunities. Market prices under at -167, reflecting strong consensus.
Noah Schultz under 4.5 strikeoutsL
Jul 27, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7700
Read original reasoning
Schultz's last 3 starts: 2, 4, 3 Ks — averaging just 3.0 per outing, well below the 4.5 line. His most recent start lasted only 3.2 IP (5 ER vs TEX, Jul 21), meaning he may not reach the depth needed to accumulate 5 Ks. Season K/9 of 7.84 (49 K / 56.2 IP) is undercut by declining outing length and poor command (29 BB in 56.2 IP). The NYY lineup at 4.6 R/G will likely shorten his leash early. Recent form is the dominant signal here.
