Noelvi Marte under 0.5 hitsL
Jul 2, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9300
Read original reasoning
Marte is hitting .200/.259/.390 on the season (108 PA) and is 0-for-3 in his career vs Misiorowski (0.000 AVG, 0.000 OPS across all 3 PA). Misiorowski's 13.27 K/9 pace is punishing for a below-average contact hitter with a documented 0-for-3 history in this matchup. The -108 juice is light given the combination of career futility and season-long contact struggles — this market is underpricing the Under.
Market unavailableW
Jun 15, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.4800
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Marte is 0-for-6 (.000 AVG, 0.000 OPS) in 6 career PA vs Tobias Myers spanning 2024 and 2025. Despite a hot last 7 days (1.158 OPS), Myers has consistently shut down Marte across two prior seasons — not a single hit in 6 attempts. Marte's season slash is .218/.271/.400, and his vRHP OPS of .757 is below league average. Under 0.5 hits at +148 is strong value when backed by a genuine 0-for-6 career matchup with no sign of regression from Myers in this specific pairing.
Market unavailableW
Jun 6, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.4800
Read original reasoning
Career vs Liberatore: 9 PA, .375 AVG, 1.194 OPS, 1 HR across 2023–2025 — the largest BvP sample of any CIN batter in this matchup. Per committee rules, career matchup data is the primary signal. Caveats: Marte's 2026 form is very poor (.152/.222/.152 in 36 PA), which tempers confidence to LOW. The career matchup edge is real but his current cold stretch is a legitimate counter-signal.
