Market unavailableL
Jun 26, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1800
Read original reasoning
Corbin's last 3 starts: 4 K (3.2 IP, Jun 20), 3 K (3.2 IP, Jun 14), 3 K (3.0 IP, Jun 8) — averaging 3.33 Ks per outing, below the 3.5 line in 2 of 3 starts. He has failed to complete 4 innings in each of those three outings. Even at his 2026 K/9 pace, he would need to last 5+ innings to comfortably clear 4 Ks — recent form makes that unlikely. Under at +118 is strong value given the consistent early-hook pattern.
Market unavailableL
Jun 20, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9800
Read original reasoning
Corbin's last three starts: 3 K in 3.2 IP, 3 K in 3.0 IP, 1 K in 5.0 IP — two of three already under 3.5, and his total volume is being strangled by extreme inefficiency (4.57 ERA, 1.475 WHIP). At 43 K in 61.0 IP on the season, his K/9 is 6.33. He has gone over 3.5 Ks only when he stays deep into games, and his recent outings show he is not doing that. The -102 line reflects a near coin flip, but the data supports under given the 3-inning pattern.
Market unavailableW
Jun 14, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2000
Read original reasoning
Corbin is posting 6.28 K/9 in 2026 (40 K in 57.1 IP). His last three starts yielded 3, 1, and 4 Ks respectively. Critically, the outs market prices Corbin's Under 15.5 outs at -169 — the market strongly implies fewer than 5 innings, which projects to roughly 3.1 Ks at his current rate. His June 8 start lasted only 3 innings (5 ER, 3 K vs PHI). In all three 2025-26 starts vs NYY, he recorded exactly 3 Ks each time; a shortened outing (as the market anticipates) would make clearing 4 difficult. NYY's lineup has a .760 OPS and 5.1 R/G — they put pressure on Corbin early, limiting his inning count.
