Peter Lambert over 2.5 strikeoutsL
Sep 27, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.3400
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Lambert is posting 9.0 K/9 in 2026 across 153.2 IP with 153 strikeouts. Last 3 starts: 6 K (2.2 IP vs ATH Sep 24), 6 K (5.1 IP vs ATL Sep 18), 4 K (6.0 IP vs TB Sep 12) — all three cleared 2.5 Ks, including in his shortest outing. Even on short rest with likely a truncated appearance, his K rate means he reaches 3+ Ks quickly. The 2.5 line at +134 is strikingly low given this recent output and season-long dominance.
Peter Lambert over 4.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 24, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9000
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Lambert has posted 147 K in 151.0 IP in 2026 (8.76 K/9). Last 3 starts: 6 K, 4 K, 6 K — averaging 5.3 per outing, with 2 of 3 clearing 4.5. He comes in on 6 days rest and has been durable (5.1–7.0 IP in recent starts). His prior start vs ATH this year yielded 4 K in 5.1 IP — right at the line. ATH is a weak 63-95 club with below-average contact quality, and Lambert's K rate projects him to surpass 4.5 in a full outing.
Peter Lambert over 3.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 12, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7300
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Lambert's last 3 starts: 6K (7.0 IP), 6K (4.2 IP), 5K (5.2 IP) — cleared 3.5 in all three. His 2026 K/9 sits at 8.85 over 139.2 IP. The line at 3.5 is a low bar; even in his shortest recent outing (4.2 IP) he punched out 6. TB's lineup may see rest/usage adjustments post-clinch, and Tropicana's pitcher-friendly environment (0.96 runs factor) suppresses contact. Extended 6-day rest should mean a full-effort start.
