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SEA · Batter

Randy Arozarena

Bats R · 2026 player profile

MLB / LF
Charts through 2026-09-27 · season stats retrieved 2026-10-13
Average.2812026 · MLB season
Home runs262026 · MLB season
RBI792026 · MLB season
OPS.8652026 · MLB season

Quality of contact

10-game rolling xwOBA

.150.250.350.450.55010-game xwOBALEAGUE AVG .302
10-game rolling xwOBA
League Avg

2026-03-26 — 2026-09-27 · 154 recorded dates. Higher xwOBA means stronger expected production.

SEA at —

Matchup unavailable

Our picks & reasoning

No upcoming matchup in this schedule snapshot.

OddsIndex analysis

Our picks on Arozarena

Saved upcoming picks

No saved upcoming picks for Randy Arozarena.

Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.

Our past picks

Original reasoning and recorded results.

Showing 20 past picks from 48 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.

Randy Arozarena under 0.5 hitsL

Sep 24, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.4400

Read original reasoning

Career vs Rodriguez: 10 PA, .111 AVG, 0.311 OPS — just 1 hit in 9 ABs. The trend is worsening: 0.393 OPS in 2023, 0.000 OPS in 2 PA in 2024. Despite Arozarena's solid season vR OPS of 0.812, his specific inability to hit Rodriguez is well-documented across a meaningful sample. Under 0.5 hits at +144 represents outstanding value — the market is nearly giving even money on a batter who is 1-for-9 against this pitcher.

Randy Arozarena under 0.5 hitsW

Sep 22, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2600

Read original reasoning

Arozarena is 0-for-9 (.000 AVG) in career plate appearances vs Javier across 2021–2023 — zero hits in 9 PA, though he has drawn some walks (0.556 OPS inflated by walks alone). Javier's career vs SEA is strong (3-2, 2.87 ERA, 9 appearances). Arozarena's L7d OPS is 1.011 so recent form is good, but the 0-for-9 career hitless track record vs this specific pitcher at +126 is value. Small sample caveat applies at 9 PA.

Randy Arozarena over 1.5 total basesL

Sep 20, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8200

Read original reasoning

Arozarena is surging: L7d OPS of 1.436 is the hottest number on this slate. Season line of .281/.377/.484 with 26 HR shows consistent extra-base pop. His vR split (0.814 OPS) is his stronger side, but Anderson is LHP — his vL data (0.973 OPS) is elite. Either way, he's hitting the ball hard right now. Career vs Sugano: 6 PA, .000 AVG — but if Quintana actually starts (as confirmed by Purple Row), that BvP is irrelevant. Focus on the 1.436 L7d OPS and .484 SLG at Coors (HR factor 1.20). Over 1.5 TB at -122 is well-supported by current form and park.

Market lines · saved snapshot

Snapshot unavailable. Market lines from the latest recorded feed update. Availability may have changed.

Market snapshot unavailable.

At the plate

Which pitches he handles and how he makes decisions at the plate.

Where the ball goes

350 FTLeftCenterRight
Batted Balls431
Hits161
Home Runs26
Pull%54.1
Out
1B
2B/3B
HR

Contact by location

73.58 BIP89.130 BIP95.728 BIP87.323 BIP93.868 BIP92.752 BIP80.312 BIP92.546 BIP95.640 BIP83.3High94.1Away86.5Low86.0InsideCatcher's perspective
73.5mph
95.7mphExit velocity

Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.

Data detail

Season & career

Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team.

Season / teamGPAHHRRBIAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026 · Seattle Mariners1546701612679.281.381.484.865
2025 · Seattle Mariners1607091462776.238.334.426.760
2024 · 1546481202060.219.332.388.720
2024 · Seattle Mariners5423946523.231.356.377.733
2024 · Tampa Bay Rays100409741537.211.318.394.712
2023 · Tampa Bay Rays1516541402383.254.364.425.789
2022 · Tampa Bay Rays1536451542089.263.327.445.772
2021 · Tampa Bay Rays1416041452069.274.356.459.815
2020 · Tampa Bay Rays237618711.281.382.6411.023
2019 · St. Louis Cardinals1923612.300.391.500.891
Career9554029890144469.255.350.442.792
Recorded game dates 154 dates

Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.

DatePA*xwOBABAEV (mph)Barrel fraction
2026-09-2740.3700.33381.80.000
2026-09-2650.2070.40092.80.500
2026-09-2550.2270.40096.30.000
2026-09-2440.2190.25076.60.000
2026-09-2350.5720.33395.90.333
2026-09-2240.5320.000——
2026-09-2040.2680.00091.80.000
2026-09-1940.5190.25095.60.333
2026-09-1850.4740.75095.50.000
2026-09-1650.3670.33391.50.000

*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.

How to read these numbers
xwOBA

Sample: 670 pa

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.

Exit velocity

Sample: 431 bip

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

Barrel rate

Sample: 431 bip

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

Hard-hit rate

Sample: 431 bip

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.

Strikeout rate

Sample: 670 pa

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.

Walk rate

Sample: 670 pa

Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.