Riley Greene over 0.5 hitsL
Sep 27, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6200
Read original reasoning
Greene is batting .282 with a .477 SLG and .866 OPS vs RHP this season. L28d OPS of 1.018 shows sustained recent quality. Career vs Jones: 2-for-3 (small sample, 2024 only) — not a meaningful concern but nothing negative either. Jones allows 1.12 WHIP and has a 3.87 ERA — not an unhittable starter. Greene is DET's best contact hitter against righties and is the most reliable over in the Tigers lineup. Main picks lean DET, supporting their key bats.
Riley Greene over 0.5 hitsL
Sep 23, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.4600
Read original reasoning
Greene is batting .284 with a scorching L28d OPS of 1.055 and posts a solid vL OPS of 0.824 against left-handed pitching — he faces LHP Lovelady. Lovelady's recent usage pattern (0.2–1.0 IP stints) means DET hitters will likely see the bullpen early, but Greene should still get multiple plate appearances in the Tigers' lineup with the team heavily favored at home. With 21 HR and a high-contact profile, a single hit is a high-probability outcome at -217.
Riley Greene over 1.5 total basesL
Sep 21, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.3600
Read original reasoning
Greene is the most dangerous bat in this game by recent form. His L28d OPS of 1.091 is elite, sitting atop DET's lineup with a .285/.372/.484 season slash and 21 HR. His vL OPS of 0.834 holds up well against Herz or any LHP replacement WSH deploys. Comerica Park HR factor is 0.92 but Greene's extra-base rate and power profile are sufficient to project 2+ total bases at a reasonable clip. At +136, the market undervalues him given the sustained hot streak. Consistent with the main committee's Over 8.0 pick, which projects a moderate-to-high scoring game.
