Robert Gasser under 4.5 strikeoutsL
Sep 25, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0200
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Gasser's last 3 starts: 2K (7.0 IP), 5K (5.0 IP), 5K (4.2 IP) — averaging 4.0 Ks per outing. Career vs STL: 4K (Jul 07 2026), 2K (Sep 21 2025), 4K (May 10 2024) — averaging 3.3 Ks per start against this lineup. Despite a strong season K/9 of 8.19, his recent work shows he's inducing weak contact rather than piling up strikeouts. STL team OPS of .693 is below-average, but Gasser has historically recorded fewer Ks against them than his season rate suggests. The +102 odds on the under represent slight value against a market set at near-even.
Robert Gasser under 5.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 19, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6800
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Gasser's last 3 outings: 4K in 4.1 IP, 5K in 4.2 IP, 5K in 5.0 IP — all under 5.5. He's averaging just 4.3 IP over that stretch, meaning he'd need to both go deep AND run up Ks to clear the line. His 92 K in 96.1 IP (8.61 K/9) looks good on paper, but the recent innings cap tells the real story. At -147, the under is sharp value.
Robert Gasser under 4.5 strikeoutsL
Sep 13, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9800
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Gasser's 2026 rate is 8.58 K/9 (87 K in 91.1 IP) but his last three starts were alarmingly short: 4.2, 4.1, and 5.1 IP. Averaging ~4.5 IP over that stretch, his projected K output at that workload runs 4.29 Ks — below the 4.5 line. His Jun 29 start vs CIN produced exactly 5 Ks in 5.2 IP, right at the edge. He has also struggled with command this season (29 BB in 91.1 IP), which drives up pitch counts and shortens outings. With a depleted bullpen (Game 3 of series), MIL may be quicker to pull him at any sign of trouble. Market is near coin-flip (-102), so slight edge exists from the outing-length risk alone.
