Roki Sasaki over 5.5 strikeoutsL
Aug 13, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6800
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Sasaki's 2026 K/9 of 9.09 (106 K in 105.0 IP) makes a 5.5 line beatable. Last 3 starts: 5, 7, 9 Ks — averaging 7.0 per outing. MIL lineup is littered with 0-for-2 batters vs him in 2026: Vaughn (0-for-3), Bauers (0-for-2), Hamilton (0-for-2), Ortiz (0-for-2), Yelich (0-for-2). Six days rest supports a deeper outing. Primary risk: his May 23 start vs MIL produced only 4 Ks in 5.0 IP, capping confidence on this specific opponent matchup.
Roki Sasaki over 4.5 strikeoutsW
Aug 7, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6200
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Sasaki's 2026 K/9 sits at 9.18 (101 K in 99.0 IP). Last 3 starts: 7, 9, 5 Ks — averaging 7.0 per outing. The 4.5 line is remarkably low for a pitcher whose floor in recent form is 5. ARI batters have a combined 0.000 OPS in nearly every at-bat vs Sasaki across the small BvP samples — no Arizona hitter has cracked his stuff with any regularity. Eight days of extended rest raises mild rust concern, but his last two outings (9K vs NYM, 7K vs SEA) show elite strikeout command. ARI team pitching K/9 is 6.87, and their lineup has struggled vs RHP (43-46 record). Line of 4.5 reflects too much caution on a pitcher who hasn't been under 5 Ks in his last 4 starts.
Roki Sasaki over 5.5 strikeoutsW
Jul 30, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9200
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Sasaki's 2026 K/9 is 9.04 (94 K in 93.2 IP). His most recent start (Jul 24 vs NYM) produced 9 K in 7.0 IP. Facing a SEA offense that is one of MLB's weakest: .230 AVG, .688 OPS team-wide. Sasaki enters on extended 6-day rest. Market prices the Over at -109 (52.1%), underpricing a high-K arm vs a lineup that struggles to make contact. The two sub-6 starts in his last three came against better offensive clubs.
