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Throws R · 2026 player profile
10-game rolling xwOBA
26 recorded dates. Lower xwOBA means less expected production allowed.
Next Matchup
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No upcoming game on the schedule.
No current picks for Ryan Feltner.
Original reasoning and recorded results.
Showing 12 past picks from 12 linked picks.
Sep 10, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.1200
Feltner's 2026 K/9 is 6.85 (81 K in 106.2 IP). His last 3 starts produced 5K, 6K, and 6K — all over 4.5 — even in outings where he allowed significant damage (4 ER, 5 ER). NYY's lineup is power-heavy but does strikeout at a rate consistent with his profile. With 6 days rest and his recent K output holding up even in short outings, the over at +112 offers real value.
Sep 4, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8700
Feltner's only start vs STL in 2026 (Aug 07) produced just 2 K in 5.1 IP — the most directly relevant data point. His 2026 K rate is 76 K in 101.2 IP (~6.7 K/9), which with a shortened outing risk becomes a real problem: the market prices Feltner 15.5 outs Under at -164, meaning the field expects he won't complete 5.2 IP. If he exits early, 3.5 Ks is a tough ask. Coors Field altitude also suppresses breaking-ball sharpness. Cardinals have wild-card urgency driving disciplined, contact-oriented at-bats per the scouting report. Under 3.5 at -115 is a fair price.
Aug 24, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0600
Feltner's last 3 starts: 3 K, 2 K, 2 K — 7 total Ks across 15.1 IP, a 4.11 K/9 clip that is cratering under his season 6.26 K/9. His command is broken: 5.97 ERA, 1.4+ WHIP, 3 BB/start recently. WSH lineup features contact-heavy hitters (Chaparro 1.096 vR OPS, Abrams .949 vR OPS) who will make contact and work counts rather than swing and miss. Under 3.5 is the clearest pitcher prop on the board.
What he throws, how it moves, and when he uses it.
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | Whiff% | xwOBA | EV | HMov | VMov | Spin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam FastballFF | 29% | 94.7 | 14.4% | 0.402 | 89.9 | -3.9 | 12.9 | 2379 |
| SliderSL | 23% | 89.1 | 26.4% | 0.364 | 85.3 | 4.6 | 5.7 | 2520 |
| ChangeupCH | 19% | 85.1 | 44.1% | 0.193 | 82.7 | -4.5 | 5.5 | 1603 |
| SinkerSI | 14% | 94.2 | 13.1% | 0.317 | 86.7 | -12.0 | 8.1 | 2326 |
| SweeperSW | 8% | 82.5 | 16.5% | 0.349 | 84.9 | 12.8 | -1.8 | 2642 |
| CurveballCU | 8% | 79.5 | 17.3% | 0.386 | 88.2 | 9.3 | -7.3 | 2639 |
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Seasons are split by team. Innings use baseball notation: .1 is one out, .2 is two outs.
| Season / team | G | GS | IP | K | BB | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Colorado Rockies | 26 | 22 | 123.1 | 92 | 53 | 5.40 | 1.51 |
| 2025 · Colorado Rockies | 6 | 6 | 30.1 | 25 | 12 | 4.75 | 1.48 |
| 2024 · Colorado Rockies | 30 | 30 | 162.1 | 138 | 52 | 4.49 | 1.34 |
| 2023 · Colorado Rockies | 10 | 10 | 43.1 | 38 | 28 | 5.82 | 1.68 |
| 2022 · Colorado Rockies | 20 | 19 | 97.1 | 84 | 35 | 5.83 | 1.41 |
| 2021 · Colorado Rockies | 2 | 2 | 6.1 | 6 | 5 | 11.37 | 2.21 |
| Career | 94 | 89 | 463.0 | 383 | 185 | 5.25 | 1.45 |
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | 17 | 0.281 | 0.200 | 85.7 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-20 | 13 | 0.272 | 0.182 | 87.2 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-15 | 17 | 0.229 | 0.176 | 86.7 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-10 | 22 | 0.275 | 0.300 | 89.5 | 0.158 |
| 2026-09-04 | 24 | 0.247 | 0.350 | 87.2 | 0.000 |
| 2026-08-30 | 19 | 0.252 | 0.294 | 86.9 | 0.000 |
| 2026-08-24 | 27 | 0.340 | 0.261 | 80.4 | 0.056 |
| 2026-08-18 | 26 | 0.445 | 0.381 | 87.1 | 0.150 |
| 2026-08-12 | 24 | 0.316 | 0.333 | 86.0 | 0.053 |
| 2026-08-07 | 24 | 0.286 | 0.211 | 83.2 | 0.105 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
Data through 2026-09-26.
Coverage dates show how far the available figures extend.
Available
Observations through 2026-09-26.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-13.
No upcoming game
Observations through 2026-10-13.
Available
Observations through 2026-10-14.
Form: Rolling form is a 10-game rolling xwOBA against; by game date shows each recorded date. Recorded dates are chart observations grouped by date, not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
The Edge: Higher percentiles indicate a stronger ranking within our comparison group, not a betting probability. A metric outside the comparison group shows no percentile. Walk rate: 548 pa; Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced.. Barrel rate allowed: 401 bip; Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.. Exit velocity allowed: 374 bip; Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.. BABIP allowed: 381 bip; Compared with 2026 pitchers with a recorded value and at least 50 batters faced..
Our picks: Linked picks since 2026-01-01.
