Ryan McMahon under 0.5 hitsW
Oct 5, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.5000
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McMahon has been thoroughly dominated by Peralta across 17 career PA: .071 AVG (roughly 1 hit in 14 ABs), 0.306 OPS, 0 HR. In 2026 specifically: 2 PA, 0.000 OPS. In 2024: 3 PA, 0.000 OPS. His season line of .213/.279/.357 vs RHP (.662 OPS) confirms he is one of the weakest contact threats in the Yankees lineup. The price at -200 is steep but the BvP suppression is historically consistent across multiple seasons — this is not a small-sample fluke.
Ryan McMahon under 0.5 hitsV
Sep 20, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0800
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McMahon is 0-for-13 career vs Burnes (.000 AVG, 0.154 OPS across 13 PA). The 2025 sample (3 PA, 0.000 OPS) confirms the futility carries into recent seasons. His season line is .208 AVG and he hits RHP at only .639 OPS. Under 0.5 hits at +108 (48.1% implied) represents clear positive expected value against a career shutout vs this pitcher. Even with Burnes struggling in 2026, McMahon's inability to make contact against him is the primary signal.
Ryan McMahon under 0.5 hitsW
Sep 19, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2200
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McMahon is 0-for-10 career vs Brandon Pfaadt (.000 AVG, 0.000 OPS) spanning 2023, 2024, and 2025 — zero hits across three separate seasons of exposure. He's also hitting just .208 this season with a .344 OPS in the last 28 days (.393 OPS). No hits in double-digit career PAs vs today's starter is one of the strongest under signals in the data. Pfaadt sitting at 3.77 ERA in 2026 — the best version of him in three seasons.
