Market unavailableW
Jul 4, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0600
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Aldegheri's 2026 K/9 is 6.16 (20 K in 29.2 IP across 6 starts), averaging roughly 3.3 innings per start for the season and only 4.07 IP per start in his last three outings. Last 3 starts: 4 K (5.0 IP vs ATH), 3 K (4.2 IP vs BAL), 1 K (3.0 IP vs ARI). He hit over 3.5 in exactly one of those three starts. His short-outing trend caps K accumulation even on good days, and the Red Sox offense carries a .696 team OPS. Under is essentially even-money at +106, making this strong value given the projection.
Market unavailableW
Jun 28, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.5700
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Aldegheri has totaled just 16 K in 24.2 IP in 2026 (5.9 K/9). Last 3 starts: 3, 1, 4 Ks — zero outings cleared 4.5 in that span. His last two outings lasted only 3.0 and 4.2 IP, severely capping his ceiling. Heavy walk rate (12 BB in 24.2 IP) means he pitches around contact rather than generating swings-and-misses. Under aligns with both his K rate and his history of short outings.
Market unavailableW
Jun 22, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2000
Read original reasoning
2026 K/9 of 5.85 (13 Ks in 20.0 IP). Last 3 starts: 1 K (3.0 IP), 4 K (5.0 IP), 1 K (1.0 IP) — cleared 3.5 exactly once in three tries. His walk rate (11 BB in 20 IP) signals a pitch-to-contact approach, not a swing-and-miss profile. The one start where he reached 4 Ks required a full 5-inning outing. Under 3.5 at +120 is strong value against a market implying only 45.5%.
