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Bats L · 2026 player profile
10-game rolling xwOBA
2026-03-26 — 2026-09-21 · 111 recorded dates. Higher xwOBA means stronger expected production.
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Pick record checked Oct 13, 2026 ET. Local preview uses saved data.
Original reasoning and recorded results.
Showing 10 past picks from 10 linked picks since Jan 1, 2026 ET. Snapshot Oct 13, 2026 ET.
Aug 27, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.2400
News confirms Basallo .074/.167/.185 in last 9 games — a severe offensive slump with 4 K in previous game alone. Rogers is LHP; Basallo's vL OPS is 0.473 — well below his vR mark of 0.833. L28d OPS 0.544 confirms the cold stretch extends back further. Facing a lefty he historically can't hit while in the deepest slump of his season. Under 0.5 hits at +124 offers clear value.
Jun 28, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 3.9000
Basallo carries a .457 SLG with 12 HR and .860 OPS vs RHP in 255 PA. Zack Littell has allowed 21 HR in 75.0 IP in 2026, a 2.52 HR/9 pace that ranks among the worst in baseball. Camden Yards has a HR park factor of 1.06 with a short left-field wall that favors right-handed power. Littell's last three starts produced 10 combined ER in 10.2 IP — he's not limiting hard contact. At +290 (25.6% implied), Basallo's power profile vs a HR-prone righty in a hitter-friendly park offers genuine value.
Jun 22, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.4600
Season AVG of .258 looks reasonable until you apply the platoon split: Basallo's vL OPS is 0.534 against left-handed pitching — significantly below his 0.839 vR mark. Facing LHP Aldegheri, this is a clear disadvantage. L7d OPS of 0.581 confirms recent cold form. Under 0.5 hits at +146 (40.6% implied) represents value when the market's over is priced at -208 (67.6%) without fully adjusting for the platoon penalty.
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Which pitches he handles and how he makes decisions at the plate.
Heatmap · exit velocity in mph · catcher’s view. Choose a pitch type above to filter measured contact.
Updated 2026-10-13. Seasons are split by team.
| Season / team | G | PA | H | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Baltimore Orioles | 112 | 399 | 80 | 18 | 54 | .222 | .291 | .406 | .697 |
| 2025 · Baltimore Orioles | 31 | 118 | 18 | 4 | 15 | .165 | .229 | .330 | .559 |
| Career | 143 | 517 | 98 | 22 | 69 | .209 | .277 | .388 | .665 |
Existing chart-builder observations, grouped by date. Not an official box-score game log; missing values stay blank.
| Date | PA* | xwOBA | BA | EV (mph) | Barrel fraction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | 2 | 0.000 | 0.000 | — | — |
| 2026-09-20 | 4 | 0.212 | 0.000 | 79.3 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-19 | 3 | 0.214 | 0.000 | 90.3 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-18 | 5 | 0.156 | 0.250 | 88.8 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-16 | 4 | 0.788 | 0.500 | 104.8 | 0.333 |
| 2026-09-14 | 2 | 0.018 | 0.000 | 91.2 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-13 | 3 | 0.070 | 0.000 | 90.0 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-12 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.000 | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | 4 | 0.612 | 0.333 | 102.2 | 0.000 |
| 2026-09-08 | 4 | 0.057 | 0.000 | 56.2 | 0.000 |
*PA is the count of appearances with a positive wOBA denominator.
Sample: 399 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
Sample: 257 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 257 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 257 bip
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 30 batted balls.
Sample: 399 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
Sample: 399 pa
Compared with 2026 batters with a recorded value and at least 50 plate appearances.
