Market unavailableW
Jun 12, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.8200
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Strider's 2026 K/9 computes to ~10.75 (43K in 36.0 IP), but his last 3 outings produced only 3, 8, and 5 Ks — with the most recent a troubling 3K in 5.0 IP vs PIT on Jun 06. Career vs NYM includes a 2K disaster outing (Aug 12 2025, 4.0 IP, 8 ER). His 15.5-outs market prices the Under at -154, implying the market expects him to not go deep consistently. The 5.5 K line sits nearly even at Under -122 / Over -114, providing slight value on the Under given the downside-flagging recent form and real questions about his command.
Market unavailableV
May 31, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9000
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Strider's last 3 starts: 5K, 9K, 4K — only 1 of 3 exceeded 6.5. 2026 pace is 32K in 26 IP (11.1 K/9), but his outs market prices Under 15.5 outs at -167 (62.5%), implying ~5 IP most likely. At 5 IP with 11.1 K/9 pace, expected output is ~6.1 Ks — squarely under the 6.5 line. His elevated 2026 walk rate (15 BB in 26 IP, 5.2 BB/9) also limits efficiency and inning depth. Under 6.5 at -111 offers value given median projection.
Market unavailableW
May 26, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6100
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Most recent start vs this exact BOS lineup (May 15 2026): only 4 Ks in 5.1 IP — the single most predictive data point. Last 3 starts: 9, 4, 8 Ks with high variance. Strider's 2026 walk rate (12 BB in 21 IP) suggests occasional command issues. Outs prop split near 50/50 at 15.5 suggests market expects limited IP. Under aligns with main committee Under 8.5 (fewer innings = fewer K opportunities). BOS offense is suppressed (.683 OPS) but Strider's specific BOS K output was well under 6.5 in his only 2026 meeting.
