Spencer Torkelson over 0.5 total basesL
Sep 22, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6900
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Torkelson's season line of .230/.325/.428 undersells his current form: L28d OPS 0.956, L7d OPS 1.298 — he is surging hard entering this game. His 25 HR shows extra-base pop, and vL split of 0.714 is functional against Kent (LHP). Getting at least 0.5 total bases (any base hit or walk-turned-hit) against a 6.40 ERA starter is a reasonable play at -145. The L7d surge is the primary edge here.
Spencer Torkelson over 0.5 hitsW
Sep 21, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6700
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Torkelson's L7d OPS of 1.271 is the hottest number on DET's roster over the past week, with his L28d OPS of 0.928 confirming the trend is extended. He has 24 HR and a .326 OBP — consistent on-base presence. Facing a LHP (Herz or a LHP backup), his vL OPS of 0.722 is respectable. A player this hot is a strong candidate to record at least one hit against a shaky or uncertain WSH starter. Getting over 0.5 hits at -149 with this form is sound.
Spencer Torkelson under 0.5 hitsV
Sep 19, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0200
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Career vs Burke: 10 PA, .100 AVG, 0.300 OPS. In 2024 (2 PA): 0.000 OPS. In 2025 (3 PA): 0.000 OPS. In 2026 (5 PA): 0.600 OPS — some improvement this year, worth noting as a counterweight. Still, the cumulative 10-PA track record vs Burke (.100 AVG, 0.300 OPS) is a meaningful under signal, and +102 is plus money. Torkelson's season .229 AVG further limits his overall contact floor. Risk: the 2026 trend shows slight improvement vs Burke, and Torkelson is hitting .869 OPS over his L28d.
