Steven Kwan

Kwan has posted 0.000 OPS in both 2024 (3 PA) and 2025 (3 PA) vs Peralta, with a career line of .111 AVG and 0.222 OPS across 9 PA. The year-over-year trend vs this specific pitcher is a consistent shutout — two straight seasons of 0.000 OPS is not noise. Kwan's season vR OPS of 0.787 is irrelevant here; Peralta owns him. At +148 (40.3% implied), the under is priced with value.

While most CLE hitters struggle badly against Rasmussen, Kwan is the clear exception. Career vs Rasmussen: 12 PA, .364 AVG, 0.962 OPS. In 2026 specifically (6 PA): 1.000 OPS. He has made consistent contact against this pitcher across two consecutive seasons — 0.900 OPS in 2025 and 1.000 OPS in 2026. His season profile of .282 AVG, .382 OBP reflects a true contact bat who uses the whole field and doesn't chase. The -213 juice is steep, but the BvP sample is robust at 12 PA and the trend is directionally consistent upward. In a low-scoring game where hits are scarce, Kwan is the Guardians batter most likely to solve Rasmussen.

Kwan is 1-for-6 (.167 AVG, 0.334 OPS) in career PA vs Suarez. He also carries a clear platoon disadvantage as a left-handed hitter against LHP Suarez, posting just a .611 OPS vs LHP this season compared to .777 vs RHP. The market implies he gets a hit roughly 62% of the time (priced via the over at -238), but his BvP rate and LHP split both argue a hitless game is meaningfully more likely. +162 is genuine value against that implied probability.