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Apr 11, 2026 ET · Odds at publication unavailable
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Walker 2026: 6 Ks in 9.2 IP (5.6 K/9), declining sharply from 2025's 6.3 K/9. Last 3 starts: 4K, 2K, 1K — averaging 2.33 Ks in his last two outings. With ARI lineup weakened by Corbin Carroll's likely absence (hip tightness, scratched Apr 9 with continued absence projected), Walker faces a lower-OBP lineup but his own strikeout generation has collapsed in 2026. The 3.5 line sits well above his recent output of 1-2 Ks per start.
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Apr 5, 2026 ET · Odds at publication unavailable
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Walker has been dreadful in 2026: 11.57 ERA, only 2 K in 4.2 IP last start (Mar 30 vs WSH). Last 3 outings combined: 5 Ks across ~6.4 IP. His 2025 full-season K/9 was just 6.3. At Coors Field, hitters make more contact and Walker's control issues (3 BB in last start) suggest he'll be pitching from behind rather than setting up swing-and-miss counts. Unlikely to go deep enough to rack up Ks. Under 3.5 at -111 is fair price.
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Mar 30, 2026 ET · Odds at publication unavailable
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Walker's 2025 K rate was 87 K in 124.1 IP — approximately 6.3 K/9. In his three 2025 starts vs WSH specifically he recorded 5 K (5.0 IP), 3 K (6.2 IP), and 2 K (5.2 IP), averaging 3.3 Ks per outing against this exact lineup. His last three outings of 2025 (0.2, 1.0, 2.0 IP) suggest possible arm/health concerns entering 2026. WSH is the first start of the season — volume risk is real. Under 3.5 at -133 has value given Walker's track record against this squad.