Taj Bradley over 6.5 strikeoutsL
Sep 22, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.9000
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Bradley's 2026 K/9 of 10.41 (199 K in 172.1 IP) is elite. Last 3 starts: 9, 6, 6 Ks (avg 7.0). Oracle Park run factor 0.93 is pitcher-friendly. SF team OPS .713 ranks among lower offensive units. Market pricing nearly a coin flip (-111 Over vs -127 Under) undervalues Bradley's dominant strikeout rate — his 10.4 K/9 projects to 7+ Ks in a 6-inning start. Outs market (Over 16.5 at -125) suggests market expects a full outing.
Taj Bradley under 7.5 strikeoutsL
Sep 17, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.6200
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Bradley's season K/9 of 10.3 is elite, but outing length is the limiting factor. Last 3 starts: 6, 6, 9 Ks — only one exceeded 7.5, and the short 5.0 IP outing on Sep 5 shows real cap risk. Crucially, his two prior starts vs LAA are both under: 6 K in 7.0 IP (Jul 12 2026) and 5 K in 6.1 IP (Sep 10 2025). Angel Stadium runs factor 0.97 — this lineup doesn't force high pitch counts. Market implies 61.7% under probability; the LAA-specific history aligns with that lean.
Taj Bradley over 5.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 11, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 2.0600
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Bradley's 2026 indicators are elite: 10.4 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9. Last 3 starts: 11 K (6.2 IP), 9 K (7 IP), 6 K (5 IP) — two of three cleared 5.5. vs CLE in 2026: 10 K (Jul 07) and 5 K (Jul 23). CLE lineup is actively suppressed by Bradley: Bazzana 0-for-6 (0.000 OPS in 2026), Rocchio 0.000 OPS in 6 PA in 2026, Jo Adell 0.000 OPS in 3 PA in 2026, Petey Halpin 0.000 OPS in 2 PA. CLE team hitting .237 AVG (.686 OPS) on the season — bottom-tier offense. Six days of extended rest supports deep outing potential. Market at +106 undervalues a pitcher whose indicators clearly outpace recent surface results.
