Tanner Bibee over 4.5 strikeoutsL
Sep 19, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7200
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Bibee's 2026 K/9 sits at 7.11 (140 K in 177.1 IP). His BvP history against ATH is the real edge — 10 K in 8.0 IP (Jun 2025) and 8 K in 5.2 IP (Apr 2024). The Athletics bat .244 AVG as a team, a below-average contact profile that plays into strikeout props. Six days of extended rest should sharpen his command. Risk is real: his last three starts produced 7, 1, and 4 Ks — a volatile floor. But ATH matchup history and the lineup profile tip the needle over 4.5.
Tanner Bibee under 5.5 strikeoutsW
Sep 8, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7100
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Bibee's 2026 K/9 is 7.15 over 166.1 IP. Last 3 starts: 4 K (4.0 IP vs TOR), 5 K (6.0 IP vs KC), 6 K (6.0 IP at COL) — averaging exactly 5.0 Ks per outing. In 3 career starts vs BAL he posted 5, 4, and 5 Ks respectively. The 5.5 line sits above both his rolling average and his BAL matchup history. With a 4-K blowup just 5 days ago and a walk-heavy recent outing (5 BB vs TOR) cutting his innings short, the under is the lean.
Tanner Bibee over 3.5 strikeoutsV
Sep 3, 2026 ET · Odds at publication 1.7800
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Bibee's 2026 K/9 sits at 7.10 across 162.1 IP (128 K). Last 3 starts: 5, 6, 3 Ks — avg 4.7, above the 3.5 line. The outs market prices him as a deep-game pitcher (17.5 outs over at -204, implying ~5.8 IP). At 7.10 K/9 over 5.8 innings, projection lands around 4.6 Ks. Vs TOR in Jun 26 2025 he posted 7 Ks. TOR lineup is middle-of-the-pack vs RHP (48-52 record). Over 3.5 at -128 is reasonable value given depth and rate.
