Tanner Gordon

Gordon's 2026 K/9 is 7.49 over 97.1 IP. Last 3: 5, 4, 3 Ks averaging 4.0 — cleared 3.5 in 2 of 3. In 2025 vs San Diego he fanned 9 (6 IP) and 5 (3.2 IP). SD's .711 OPS offense is below-average, and Gordon's career SD matchup history shows he generates Ks against this lineup. Line of 3.5 is low for a pitcher averaging 7.5 K/9 with recent SD precedent.

Gordon's 2026 K/9 is 7.33 (76 K in 93.1 IP). Last 3 starts: 4K, 3K, 5K — cleared 3.5 in 2 of 3 outings with a 4.0 K average. His May 2025 start vs DET produced 4K in 6.1 IP. DET's 49-52 record vs RHP is league-average, not a K-suppressing lineup. If Gordon reaches his typical 5+ IP, his K/9 pace projects above the 3.5 line. Main risk is a short outing like his 4.2 IP start Sep 6.

Gordon's 2026 K/9 is 7.34 (72 K in 88.2 IP), and his strikeout production specifically vs STL has been poor. Last meeting (Aug 09 2026): just 2 Ks in 3.1 IP. Prior meeting (Jul 23 2025): 3 Ks in 6.0 IP. Both are under 3.5. His last 3 starts yielded 3, 5, and 2 Ks — two of three under the line. STL is not a high-strikeout offense (.243 team AVG). Gordon's two documented starts against this Cardinals lineup have produced a combined 5 Ks across 9.1 IP, well under the per-start pace needed to clear 3.5. +112 odds on the under represent clear value.